Autodesk Inc. (ADSK) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$249.61 +3.26% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $251.67

Autodesk Inc. (ADSK) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 73/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (91% profit margin, 31% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $50.52B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ADSK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Autodesk Inc. (NASDAQ: ADSK) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 73/100 at a spot price of $249.61 (+3.26% 1D, market cap $50.52B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 20/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, ADSK ranks #52 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ADSK compare to VEEV and TEAM in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), ADSK carries a Roarable B (73/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 44.9x, gross margin of 91.0%, and ROIC of 30.8%. By comparison, VEEV (Veeva Systems Inc.) holds a B+ grade (78/100 RQD, P/E 55.3x, ROIC 11.1%, cap $50.25B) and TEAM (Atlassian Corporation) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -2.5%, cap $51.47B). Among the 5-stock peer group, XYZ leads on earnings multiple (35.4x) while ADSK leads on capital efficiency (30.8% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ADSK?
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Per ADSK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31, CIK 0000769397), Autodesk Inc. generated $7.21B in revenue (+17.5% YoY), $1.12B in net income, and $2.41B in free cash flow against $12.47B in total assets and $2.92B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (91% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 45x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $251.68 (+0.83%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 20/20 (A+) • 33.4% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 73/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B
025507510073
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B+ · Rk C+
Cash (20)Whales (11)SEC (15)Macro (12)CEO (15)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+6.8% Base Target
$336 Bull$266 Base$205 Bear
📬 FREE ADSK RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ADSK)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (73/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ADSK SCORES 73/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+20/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 33.4% FCF Margin ($2.41B FCF) & 91% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (21% of score)

Altman Z-Score 5.82 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-9 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
65
Grade C+$230.43+6.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
68
Grade B-$245.58-1.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
70
Grade B$242.10+3.1% Next Q
Current
73
Grade B$249.61+7.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (65) → B (73)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ADSK Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 73/100 (B) score, ADSK faces multiple-compression risk if 44.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Priced at 45x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 88.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($231.96) or 200D SMA ($233.72) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($266.46) toward Bear Floor ($204.68).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ADSK• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ADSK Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
1.8% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (11.4% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $29,434

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $530/yr
$11.1K
Yr 1
$12.4K
Yr 2
$13.8K
Yr 3
$15.4K
Yr 4
$17.2K
Yr 5
$19.1K
Yr 6
$21.3K
Yr 7
$23.7K
Yr 8
$26.4K
Yr 9
$29.4K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Cash-Flow & Quality Compounder Desk

Cash-Fortress Compounders: Auditing Free Cash Flow & Yield Safety in ADSK & A-Rated Leaders

  • ✓12-month Bull/Base/Bear fair-value walkthrough on ADSK and its top sector peer
  • ✓Top Roarable A-Rated cash compounders with verified executive & 13F accumulation
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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ADSK // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +0.84%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $242.4H $249.6L $241.7C $249.6VOL 1.57M
RES: $253.0SUP: $204.1SMA50: $232.0SMA200: $233.7
$286.9$259.4$231.9$204.4$177.0RES $253.0SUP $204.1$249.62026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ADSK Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
33.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +17.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ADSK today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ADSK. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ADSK today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ADSK)

Technology Rank #52 of 714 ⚔️ VEEV vs ADSK Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (ADSK vs. VEEV, TEAM, XYZ, MSTR)

Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Autodesk Inc. (ADSK) ranks #52 by composite RQD confidence (73/100, grade B) and #61 by equity capitalization ($50.52B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, XYZ leads on earnings valuation at 35.4x trailing P/E, while ADSK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 30.8% ROIC and 91.0% gross margin. VEEV currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 78/100 (B+) compared with ADSK at 73/100 (B).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ADSK ACTIVE
Autodesk Inc.
B 73/100 44.9x 91.0% 30.8% +3.26% $50.52B Benchmark Subject
VEEV
Veeva Systems Inc.
B+ 78/100 55.3x 75.5% 11.1% +0.84% $50.25B /veev-vs-adsk →
TEAM
Atlassian Corporation
C- 61/100 — 82.8% -2.5% -6.07% $51.47B /team-vs-adsk →
XYZ
Block Inc.
C 64/100 35.4x 42.8% 5.9% -0.95% $46.23B /xyz-vs-adsk →
MSTR
Strategy Inc (Class A)
D 44/100 — 68.7% -8.6% -7.84% $59.76B /mstr-vs-adsk →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-01-31 • CIK 0000769397

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31), Autodesk Inc. (ADSK) reported GAAP revenue of $7.21B (+17.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $6.13B , and +31.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $1.12B, operating cash flow of $2.45B, and free cash flow of $2.41B (+53.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, ADSK closed FY2025 with $12.47B in total assets against $2.92B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 5.82, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-01-31 $7.21B $1.12B $2.45B $2.41B $12.47B $2.92B
FY2024 (FY) 2025-01-31 $6.13B $1.11B $1.61B $1.57B $10.83B $2.53B
FY2023 (FY) 2024-01-31 $5.50B $906.0M $1.31B $1.07B $27.79B $6.50B

3. ADSK Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ADSK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Autodesk Inc. (NASDAQ: ADSK) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 73/100 at a spot price of $249.61 (+3.26% 1D, market cap $50.52B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 20/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, ADSK ranks #52 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ADSK compare to VEEV and TEAM in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), ADSK carries a Roarable B (73/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 44.9x, gross margin of 91.0%, and ROIC of 30.8%. By comparison, VEEV (Veeva Systems Inc.) holds a B+ grade (78/100 RQD, P/E 55.3x, ROIC 11.1%, cap $50.25B) and TEAM (Atlassian Corporation) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -2.5%, cap $51.47B). Among the 5-stock peer group, XYZ leads on earnings multiple (35.4x) while ADSK leads on capital efficiency (30.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ADSK?

Per ADSK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31, CIK 0000769397), Autodesk Inc. generated $7.21B in revenue (+17.5% YoY), $1.12B in net income, and $2.41B in free cash flow against $12.47B in total assets and $2.92B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (91% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 45x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ADSK trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ADSK last traded at $249.61 (+3.26% on volume of 2,470,160 shares), positioning the stock +7.61% above its 50-day simple moving average ($231.96) and +6.80% above its 200-day simple moving average ($233.72). Across its 52-week range of $185.50 to $320.00, ADSK sits at the 47.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 53.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.9% ($234.88 to $264.34).

ADSK Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does ADSK pay a dividend and is it safe?

Autodesk Inc. (ADSK) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 1.8% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 73/100 (B) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

ADSK — Autodesk Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:11:07Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, ADSK scores 73 out of 100, a letter grade of B, with the verdict label "Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward." The score is built from five pillars. The fundamental cash engine pillar earns 20 of 20, the strongest contribution, supported by ROIC of 30.8% and an FCF yield of 4.77%; for an investor, this indicates the business converts capital into returns at a high rate relative to the shares' market cost. The whale 13F flow pillar earns 11 of 20, reflecting institutional accumulation and options positioning, a moderate reading that suggests institutional interest is present but not dominant. The insider conviction pillar earns 15 of 20, based on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow, indicating a supportive but not maximal signal. The macro regime fit pillar earns 12 of 20, tied to a beta of 1.33 and sector sensitivity; for a prospective investor, this means the stock has historically moved more than the broader market, which amplifies both upside and drawdown exposure. The forensic balance sheet pillar earns 15 of 20, supported by an Altman Z-Score of 5.82, a Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.83. Taken together, the strongest engine is cash generation and capital efficiency, while the main valuation tradeoff is that the P/E (TTM) of 44.9 and EV/EBITDA of 31.5 are elevated, meaning upside depends on sustained earnings growth to justify the multiple. This brief is educational and is not personalized financial advice.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
241.73$50.52B44.937.731.55.380%1.33$185.5 - $32030.8%

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$7206.0M$1578.0M$1124.0MN/A$2409.0M$2249.0M$2917.3M
FY 2024$6131.0M$1354.0M$1112.0MN/A$1567.0M$1599.0M$2534.9M
FY 2023$5497.0M$1128.0M$906.0MN/A$1065.6MN/A$6502.1M

Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $5497.0M in FY 2023 to $7206.0M in FY 2025, and free cash flow rose from $1065.6M to $2409.0M over the same span. Per the market data, the operating margin is 21.9% and the net margin is 15.6%, with ROIC at 30.8%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the forensic balance sheet pillar cites an Altman Z-Score of 5.82, a Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.83. The reported debt declined from $6502.1M in FY 2023 to $2917.3M in FY 2025, while cash in FY 2025 was $2249.0M.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

The news wire contains six items, all tagged to ADSK. Headlines include a Yahoo Finance report on stock movement and institutional positioning, a Trefis piece questioning the market's view of the company's cash yield, an Investing.com item on a day's rally flagged as a CATALYST, a Yahoo! Finance Canada quote page, a Trefis report on a six-day winning streak showing the stock up 16%, and a Yahoo Finance report attributing a move to a "$22.6 Billion" figure. Most items are flagged YELLOW under the MARKET WIRE label, and one item is flagged GREEN under CATALYST. The underlying article bodies are Not available in source data beyond headlines and summaries, so specific causal drivers cannot be confirmed from the source. The Butterfly supply-chain graph reports no supply chain links and no proprietary signals, so no butterfly-derived catalysts are identified.

Open Questions

  • What are the specific drivers behind the cited news headlines, given that article bodies are not included in the source data?
  • What is the composition of Autodesk's FY 2025 revenue by product line and customer segment?
  • How do the P/E (TTM) of 44.9 and EV/EBITDA of 31.5 compare to peers, and what sector benchmarks apply?
  • What are the specific SEC Form 4 and 13F transactions underlying the insider and whale pillar scores?
  • Why is EPS reported as N/A for all three fiscal periods despite an EPS (TTM) of 5.38 in market data?

ADSK Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Autodesk Inc. (ADSK) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ADSK Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ADSK Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $249.61?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ADSK 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ADSK:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $285.24 (+18.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is ADSK (B • RQD 73/100) a Buy at $241.73?

Welcome to the ADSK (Autodesk Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 73/100 (Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward) in Computer Software: Prepackaged Software. Bulls point to capital efficiency (30.8% ROIC), while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (44.9x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

MU MultipleCompression Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $188.55 (-22.0%)
Spot @ $241.73

Pump the brakes on ADSK — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on ADSK, but look at what you are paying: 44.9x trailing P/E with 91.0% gross margins. Unless Autodesk Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

DE DeltaGamma_99 Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $302.16 (+25.0%)
Spot @ $241.73

ADSK cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on ADSK, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Computer Software: Prepackaged Software and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $241.73 (52-wk range $185.50 - $320.00), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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