Adobe Inc. (ADBE) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$250.23 +0.85% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $251.21

Adobe Inc. (ADBE) earns a Roarable Rating of A- (Buy) with 81/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (89% profit margin, 50% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE A- β€’ BUY Cap $97.39B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ADBE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Adobe Inc. (NASDAQ: ADBE) is rated A- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 81/100 at a spot price of $250.23 (+0.85% 1D, market cap $97.39B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 20/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 19/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, ADBE ranks #7 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ADBE compare to NET and INTU in the Technology sector?
β–Ό

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), ADBE carries a Roarable A- (81/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 13.5x, gross margin of 89.3%, and ROIC of 50.2%. By comparison, NET (Cloudflare Inc.) holds a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -1.9%, cap $99.95B) and INTU (Intuit Inc.) posts a B+ grade (78/100 RQD, P/E 22.9x, ROIC 18.1%, cap $91.15B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ADBE leads on earnings multiple (13.5x) while ADBE leads on capital efficiency (50.2% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ADBE?
β–Ό

Per ADBE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-11-28, CIK 0000796343), Adobe Inc. generated $23.77B in revenue (+10.5% YoY), $7.13B in net income, and $9.85B in free cash flow against $29.50B in total assets and $8.04B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (89% profit margin)β€”profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $251.21 (+0.39%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-3.20% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 20/20 (A+) β€’ 41.4% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 81/100 (A-) historically ranked in the Top 8% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+8.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 71.6% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY β€’ A-
025507510081
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw A- Β· Rk B+
Cash (20)Whales (11)SEC (15)Macro (16)CEO (19)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+10.4% Base Target
$381 Bull$276 Base$205 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE ADBE RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ADBE)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±6.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (81/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY ADBE SCORES 81/100 (A-) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+20/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 41.4% FCF Margin ($9.85B FCF) & 89.3% Gross Margin

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+19/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-3.20% YoY Shares)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-9 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
73
Grade B$240.68+6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
76
Grade B+$255.06-2.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
78
Grade A-$249.76+0.2% Next Q
Current
81
Grade A-$250.23+8.4% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: B (73) β†’ A- (81)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ADBE Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 81/100 (A-) score, ADBE faces multiple-compression risk if 13.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-3.20% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 86.8% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($252.79) or 200D SMA ($249.72) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($276.13) toward Bear Floor ($205.19).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ADBEβ€’ $4.8M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œADBE Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
SEC FORM 4 Γ— 13F HEDGE FUNDS Γ— CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

ADBE Smart-Money Thermometer: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales β†’
β–² Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)β–Ό Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (ADBE)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on ADBE. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (ADBE Tape Review)

  • βœ“Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • βœ“Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • βœ“Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
ADBE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -1.47%β–² ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $248.1H $250.2L $248.1C $250.2VOL 5.82M
RES: $308.0SUP: $238.2SMA50: $252.8SMA200: $249.7
$322.3$286.5$250.7$214.8$179.0RES $308.0SUP $238.2$250.22026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ADBE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
5.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +10.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ADBE today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ADBE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ADBE today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ADBE)

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (ADBE vs. NET, INTU, CDNS, SNPS)

Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Adobe Inc. (ADBE) ranks #7 by composite RQD confidence (81/100, grade A-) and #43 by equity capitalization ($97.39B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ADBE leads on earnings valuation at 13.5x trailing P/E, while ADBE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 50.2% ROIC and 89.3% gross margin. ADBE currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 81/100 (A-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ADBE ACTIVE
Adobe Inc.
A- 81/100 13.5x 89.3% 50.2% +0.85% $97.39B Benchmark Subject
NET
Cloudflare Inc.
D+ 53/100 β€” 74.5% -1.9% -9.54% $99.95B /net-vs-adbe β†’
INTU
Intuit Inc.
B+ 78/100 22.9x β€” 18.1% +2.99% $91.15B /intu-vs-adbe β†’
CDNS
Cadence Design Systems Inc.
B- 70/100 84.8x β€” 15.7% -4.34% $89.97B /cdns-vs-adbe β†’
SNPS
Synopsys Inc.
C- 60/100 70.5x 77.0% 1.9% -4.61% $89.61B /snps-vs-adbe β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-11-28 β€’ CIK 0000796343

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-11-28), Adobe Inc. (ADBE) reported GAAP revenue of $23.77B (+10.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $21.50B , and +22.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $7.13B, operating cash flow of $10.03B, and free cash flow of $9.85B (+25.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, ADBE closed FY2025 with $29.50B in total assets against $8.04B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 7.17, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-11-28 $23.77B $7.13B $10.03B $9.85B $29.50B $8.04B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-11-29 $21.50B $5.56B $8.06B $7.87B $30.23B $7.26B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-01 $19.41B $5.43B $7.30B $6.43B $53.11B $12.43B

3. ADBE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ADBE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Adobe Inc. (NASDAQ: ADBE) is rated A- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 81/100 at a spot price of $250.23 (+0.85% 1D, market cap $97.39B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 20/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 19/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, ADBE ranks #7 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ADBE compare to NET and INTU in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), ADBE carries a Roarable A- (81/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 13.5x, gross margin of 89.3%, and ROIC of 50.2%. By comparison, NET (Cloudflare Inc.) holds a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -1.9%, cap $99.95B) and INTU (Intuit Inc.) posts a B+ grade (78/100 RQD, P/E 22.9x, ROIC 18.1%, cap $91.15B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ADBE leads on earnings multiple (13.5x) while ADBE leads on capital efficiency (50.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ADBE?

Per ADBE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-11-28, CIK 0000796343), Adobe Inc. generated $23.77B in revenue (+10.5% YoY), $7.13B in net income, and $9.85B in free cash flow against $29.50B in total assets and $8.04B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (89% profit margin)β€”profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ADBE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ADBE last traded at $250.23 (+0.85% on volume of 5,823,529 shares), positioning the stock -1.01% below its 50-day simple moving average ($252.79) and +0.20% above its 200-day simple moving average ($249.72). Across its 52-week range of $190.12 to $362.71, ADBE sits at the 34.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 50.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±6.6% ($233.71 to $266.75).

ADBE Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Are ADBE insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies ADBE leadership and institutional positioning as: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 81/100 (A-) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

ADBE β€” Adobe Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:09:50Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, ADBE scores 76 out of 100, grade B+, labeled "Roarable Buy β€” Very Good Cash & Smart-Money Inflow." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental cash engine: 20 / 20 (ROIC 50.2%; FCF yield 10.2%). This is the maximum pillar score and the strongest component of the rating, pointing to high capital efficiency and substantial free cash generation relative to the market price.
  • Whale 13F flow: 10 / 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning). This is the weakest pillar and indicates only moderate evidence of institutional accumulation in the source data.
  • Insider conviction: 19 / 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow). This is a near-maximum score, signaling notable insider or congressional trading activity supportive of the thesis.
  • Macro regime fit: 12 / 20 (beta 1.28; sector sensitivity). A beta above 1.0 means the stock is modeled as more volatile than the broader market, which can amplify both gains and losses in risk-off or risk-on regimes.
  • Forensic balance sheet: 15 / 20 (Altman Z 7.17; Piotroski F 8/9; Debt/Equity 0.65). The forensic metrics are strong, with a high Altman Z-Score and a Piotroski score of 8 out of 9, though the pillar is not at maximum.

For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the upside drivers sit in cash generation and capital efficiency, with insider activity as a secondary support. The main valuation tradeoff is that the market data shows a trailing P/E of 13.5 and a forward P/E of 12.6, which are modest multiples relative to the quality metrics; the stock has also traded in a 52-week range of $190.12 to $362.71, meaning the current price of $248.12 sits well below the top of that range. The weaker whale-flow and macro-fit pillars suggest that institutional conviction and beta-driven volatility are areas where the thesis is less established. This is an analytical summary of the scoring framework, not personalized financial advice.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
$248.12$96.57B13.512.611.118.320%1.28$190.12 - $362.7150.2%

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$23769.0M$8706.0M$7130.0MN/A$9852.0M$5431.0M$8042.9M
FY 2024$21505.0M$6741.0M$5560.0MN/A$7873.0M$7613.0M$7256.2M
FY 2023$19409.0M$6650.0M$5428.0MN/A$6428.6MN/A$12428.3M

Per the SEC financials, revenue grew from $19409.0M in FY 2023 to $23769.0M in FY 2025, and net income rose from $5428.0M to $7130.0M over the same span. Per the market data, operating margin is 36.6% and net margin is 30%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is 50.2%, the Altman Z-Score is 7.17, and the Piotroski F-Score is 8 out of 9. Per the SEC financials, debt moved from $12428.3M in FY 2023 to $8042.9M in FY 2025, and the RQD rating reports a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.65.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the news wire, the headlines are dominated by market commentary and valuation discussion rather than discrete company events. The top GREEN-flagged item is a Yahoo Finance report on a fresh AI partnership, framed as a potential catalyst, with the headline suggesting the stock may trade below fair value. Multiple YELLOW market-wire items cover earnings growth, long-term stock underperformance relative to the market, and downside questions. One RED item, flagged as RISK WATCH from Beinsure, covers AI deals, analyst targets, and new risks. The butterfly supply-chain graph reports no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What specific Adobe product lines and customer segments drive the reported revenue growth from $19409.0M to $23769.0M?
  • What is the EPS for FY 2025 and FY 2024, given that the financials report EPS as N/A for all periods?
  • What were the terms and scale of the AI partnership referenced in the top-ranked news item?
  • Which institutional holders and insider transactions make up the whale and insider pillar scores of 10 and 19?
  • What is the FY 2024 and FY 2023 cash balance, given that FY 2023 cash is N/A and the FY 2025 cash balance declined from FY 2024?

ADBE Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Adobe Inc. (ADBE) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to ADBE Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ADBE Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $250.23?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ADBE 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ADBE:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $292.78 (+18.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is ADBE (B+ β€’ RQD 76/100) a Buy at $248.12?

Welcome to the ADBE (Adobe Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 76/100 (Roarable Buy β€” Very Good Cash & Smart-Money Inflow) in Computer Software: Prepackaged Software. Bulls point to capital efficiency (50.2% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RI RiskArb_Desk Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $193.53 (-22.0%)
Spot @ $248.12

Pump the brakes on ADBE β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on ADBE, but look at what you are paying: 13.5x trailing P/E with 89.3% gross margins. Unless Adobe Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MA MacroHawk_NYC Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $285.34 (+15.0%)
Spot @ $248.12

ADBE cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on ADBE, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Computer Software: Prepackaged Software and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $248.12 (52-wk range $190.12 - $362.71), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

LIVE TAPE SPY $752.10 -1.80% QQQ $681.09 -3.60% DIA $519.34 -1.08% IWM $279.14 -1.68% NVDA $204.64 -4.22% AAPL $344.63 -1.23% MSFT $521.91 -1.55% TSLA $399.81 -0.86% PLTR $184.11 -6.27% SOFI $16.76 -4.83% IBIT $43.35 -5.42% GLD $361.65 -3.59%