Actuate Therapeutics Inc. (ACTU) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$0.34 -9.68% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.33

Actuate Therapeutics Inc. (ACTU) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 35/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- β€’ RED ALERT Cap $18.4M
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β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Actuate Therapeutics Inc. (NASDAQ: ACTU) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 35/100 at a spot price of $0.34 (-9.68% 1D, market cap $18.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, ACTU ranks #610 in composite RQD confidence.

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πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ACTU compare to KYNB and AKTX in the Health Care sector?
β–Ό

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), ACTU carries a Roarable D- (35/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, KYNB (Kyntra Bio Inc.) holds a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $18.5M) and AKTX (Akari Therapeutics plc ADS) posts a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $18.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ACTU leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while ACTU leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ACTU?
β–Ό

Per ACTU's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001652935), Actuate Therapeutics Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$22.2M in net income, and -$19.2M in free cash flow against $14.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.33 (-1.93%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (35/100 Β· D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ D-
025507510035
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E Β· Rk D
Cash (6)Whales (5)SEC (10)Macro (9)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-11.8% Base Target
$8 Bull$0 Base$0 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE ACTU RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ACTU)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (35/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY ACTU SCORES 35/100 (D-) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 3/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+9/20 pts (26% of score)

FRED Regime Γ— Technicals: 2% of 52W Range β€’ RSI-14 at 33.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
43
Grade D$0.47+31.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
40
Grade D$0.62-35.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
38
Grade E$0.40-15% Next Q
Current
35
Grade D-$0.34-8.5% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: D (43) β†’ D- (35)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ACTU Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While ACTU currently carries a cautious 35/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($0.87) and Max Pain ($0.36) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $8.29.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ACTUβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œACTU Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL β€’ FY 2025 (10-K)

How ACTU Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$0 (0% FCF Margin)
Revenue$4.00BGross Profit $2.08B (52%)Cost of Sales $1.92BOp Profit $0 (0%)OpEx (R&D/SG&A) $2.08BNet Profit$0 (0%)Tax/Other $0

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

β–  Revenueβ–  Net Profitβ–  Free Cash Flow
FY23
Rev $4.00B
FY24
Rev $4.00B
FY25
Rev $4.00B
Fiscal YearRevenueGross MarginOp MarginNet ProfitFree Cash FlowROIC %
FY 2025$4.00B52%-0.6%-$22.2M-$19.2M-45%
FY 2024$4.00B52%-0.6%-$27.3M-$21.8M-45%
FY 2023$4.00B52%-0.6%-$24.7M-$21.6M-35%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ACTU)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of ACTU's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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ACTU // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -88.47%πŸ›‘οΈ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $0.38H $0.38L $0.34C $0.34VOL 489.5K
RES: $1.04SUP: $0.26SMA50: $0.87SMA200: $2.11
$6.05$4.50$2.95$1.40$-0.15RES $1.04SUP $0.26$0.342026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ACTU Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ACTU today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ACTU. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ACTU today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ACTU)

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (ACTU vs. KYNB, AKTX, MCRB, COCP)

Industry: Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (489 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Actuate Therapeutics Inc. (ACTU) ranks #610 by composite RQD confidence (35/100, grade D-) and #836 by equity capitalization ($18.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ACTU leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while ACTU leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -35.0% ROIC and β€” gross margin. MCRB currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 40/100 (D-) compared with ACTU at 35/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ACTU ACTIVE
Actuate Therapeutics Inc.
D- 35/100 β€” β€” -35.0% -9.68% $18.4M Benchmark Subject
KYNB
Kyntra Bio Inc.
E 32/100 β€” 91.4% -35.0% -1.72% $18.5M /kynb-vs-actu β†’
AKTX
Akari Therapeutics plc ADS
D- 37/100 β€” β€” -35.0% +3.00% $18.8M /aktx-vs-actu β†’
MCRB
Seres Therapeutics Inc.
D- 40/100 β€” β€” -35.0% -9.23% $17.8M /mcrb-vs-actu β†’
COCP
Cocrystal Pharma Inc.
D- 36/100 β€” β€” -35.0% +1.53% $19.2M /cocp-vs-actu β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001652935

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Actuate Therapeutics Inc. (ACTU) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$22.2M, operating cash flow of -$19.2M, and free cash flow of -$19.2M (+12.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, ACTU closed FY2025 with $14.0M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 -$22.2M -$19.2M -$19.2M $14.0M β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 -$27.3M -$21.8M -$21.8M $9.3M β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 -$24.7M -$21.6M -$21.6M β€” β€”

3. ACTU Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ACTU stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Actuate Therapeutics Inc. (NASDAQ: ACTU) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 35/100 at a spot price of $0.34 (-9.68% 1D, market cap $18.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, ACTU ranks #610 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ACTU compare to KYNB and AKTX in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), ACTU carries a Roarable D- (35/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, KYNB (Kyntra Bio Inc.) holds a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $18.5M) and AKTX (Akari Therapeutics plc ADS) posts a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $18.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ACTU leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while ACTU leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ACTU?

Per ACTU's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001652935), Actuate Therapeutics Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$22.2M in net income, and -$19.2M in free cash flow against $14.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ACTU trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ACTU last traded at $0.34 (-9.68% on volume of 489,506 shares), positioning the stock -60.92% below its 50-day simple moving average ($0.87) and -83.89% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.11). Across its 52-week range of $0.33 to $7.90, ACTU sits at the 0.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 33.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.38).

ACTU Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

How profitable is Actuate Therapeutics Inc. (ACTU)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), ACTU converted $4.0B of revenue into a 52% gross margin, 0% operating margin, and $0 in free cash flow (0% FCF margin).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 35/100 (D-) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

ACTU β€” Actuate Therapeutics Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:49:51Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, ACTU scores 35 out of 100 with a letter grade of D-, labeled "Roarable Sell β€” Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 6 / 20. The rating cites ROIC of -35% and an FCF yield of 0%. For a prospective investor, this indicates the business is not currently generating returns on invested capital or free cash flow.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 5 / 20. The rating reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning. The holders section contains no data, so this score cannot be traced to specific filings in this source set.
  • Insider Conviction: 5 / 20. The rating reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. No insider transaction detail is available in this source set beyond the news headline referencing a Form 4 filing.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 9 / 20. The rating cites a beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity. This indicates market-level sensitivity without a standalone demand driver evident in the data.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 10 / 20. The rating cites an Altman Z-Score of 2.5, a Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5. The Piotroski score is weak, and the Altman figure sits in a zone that warrants caution.

Taken together, the pillar scores point to weak cash generation and a balance sheet that the rating treats as vulnerable. A prospective investor evaluating the stock today would weigh the sharp price decline (52-week range $0.33 to $7.9) against the ongoing cash burn reflected in the financials. Upside would depend on the company converting its financing activity into sustained operating progress, which the source data does not demonstrate. Valuation cannot be assessed on earnings multiples because P/E and EV/EBITDA are unavailable in the source data.

Business

Actuate Therapeutics Inc. is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified under the Health Care sector and the Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations industry, per the profile. The source data does not describe specific products, customers, or revenue streams. The FY 2025 and FY 2024 revenue figures are reported as $0.0M, and the company's model of monetization is not detailed in the sources.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$0.0M$-22.5M$-22.2MN/A$-19.2M$13.2MN/A
FY 2024$0.0M$-25.2M$-27.3MN/A$-21.8M$8.6MN/A
FY 2023$0.0M$-25.0M$-24.7MN/A$-21.6MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, the company reported no revenue across the three periods and operating losses in each year. Net margin, gross margin, and operating margin are each listed as 0% in the market data, and ROIC is -35%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 3/9, with a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5. Cash rose from $8.6M in FY 2024 to $13.2M in FY 2025 while free cash flow remained negative, and the source data does not reconcile how that cash increase was funded.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

The news feed contains six items, all tagged to ACTU:

  • A Yahoo! Finance Canada report on market action and institutional positioning (YELLOW).
  • A Moomoo report on market action and analyst ratings (YELLOW).
  • A Quantisnow report referencing a SEC Form 4 filing by the company (YELLOW).
  • A WBOC TV report announcing pricing of an $11.0 Million underwritten public offering (YELLOW).
  • A Stock Titan report referencing a proposed stock offering at an assumed $0.819 per share (YELLOW).
  • A TradingView report on a $9.96 Million stock-and-warrant offering (GREEN, tagged CATALYST).

The most material items are the financing announcements. Per the news wire, the company priced an $11.0 Million underwritten public offering and separately raised $9.96 Million through a stock-and-warrant offering. These financings are consistent with the cash figure of $13.2M in FY 2025 and the continued negative free cash flow. The Butterfly supply-chain graph reports no proprietary signals, so there are no additional signal-based catalysts in the source data. The risk watch item is dilution: the offering price referenced as assumed at $0.819 per share compares with the current price of 0.37 in the market data.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Upstream and downstream dependencies cannot be identified from the source data. Sector correlations are likewise not available beyond the classification of Health Care and Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations. A prospective investor should note that the absence of mapped links means second-order bottlenecks cannot be assessed here, and any ripple analysis would require information outside this source set.

Open Questions

  • What products or pipeline assets generate the company's business case, and what regulatory milestones are attached to them? The sources do not describe this.
  • How were the FY 2025 cash balance of $13.2M and the recent offerings structured, and what is the company's runway at the FY 2025 burn rate of $-19.2M in free cash flow?
  • What is the debt composition behind the reported Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5, given that the debt line is listed as N/A in every period?
  • What were the terms, dilution impact, and warrant exercise prices of the $11.0 Million offering and the $9.96 Million stock-and-warrant raise?
  • What drove the 52-week price decline from $7.9 to $0.33, and does the company retain its listing standing at the current price of 0.37?

ACTU Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Actuate Therapeutics Inc. (ACTU) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to ACTU Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ACTU Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $0.34?

πŸ‚ 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ACTU 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ACTU:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.33 (-10.8%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is ACTU (D- β€’ RQD 35/100) a Buy at $0.37?

Welcome to the ACTU (Actuate Therapeutics Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 35/100 (Roarable Sell β€” Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SK SkepticalCFA Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.30 (-18.9%)
Spot @ $0.37

Pump the brakes on ACTU β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on ACTU, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Actuate Therapeutics Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

AL AlphaFlow_Cap Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $0.43 (+16.2%)
Spot @ $0.37

ACTU cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on ACTU, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $0.37 (52-wk range $0.33 - $7.90), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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