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Alpha Cognition Inc. (ACOG) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±10.5% Move

$8.34 -4.58% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $8.26

Alpha Cognition Inc. (ACOG) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 39/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $190.3M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ACOG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Alpha Cognition Inc. (NASDAQ: ACOG) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 39/100 at a spot price of $8.34 (-4.58% 1D, market cap $190.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, ACOG ranks #342 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ACOG compare to TII and QNC in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Diversified Equities), ACOG carries a Roarable D- (39/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 94.1%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, TII (Titan Mining Corporation) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $197.0M) and QNC (Quantum eMotion Corp.) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $219.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ACOG leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while ACOG leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ACOG?
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Per ACOG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001655923), Alpha Cognition Inc. generated $10.2M in revenue (-69.6% YoY), -$20.7M in net income, and -$20.7M in free cash flow against $79.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $8.26 (-1.01%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (39/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510039
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D
Cash (6)Whales (11)SEC (11)Macro (8)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-8.5% Base Target
$11 Bull$8 Base$6 Bear
📬 FREE ACOG RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ACOG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (39/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ACOG SCORES 39/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+11/20 pts (28% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±10.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+11/20 pts (28% of score)

Altman Z-Score 5.52 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
47
Grade D$8.80-2.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
44
Grade D$8.61+3.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
42
Grade D$8.91-6.4% Next Q
Current
39
Grade D-$8.34-7.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (47) → D- (39)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ACOG Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ACOG currently carries a cautious 39/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($8.90) and Max Pain ($8.76) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $10.65.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ACOG• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ACOG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 39%NO 61%Trade / Inspect Odds →
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~56 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±10.5% Swing Band

±$0.88 Expected Swing
$7.46 (-10.5%)Spot $8.34$9.22 (+10.5%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

ACOG Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 39/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (39/100)Model Risk Weight (61/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$10.2M-$20.7M-$20.7M94.1%
FY 20242024-12-31$33.6M-$14.8M-$7.8M92%
FY 20232023-12-31$27.8M-$13.8M-$8.8M92%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ACOG)

  • ✓Walkthrough of ACOG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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ACOG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +37.85%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $9.19H $9.19L $8.34C $8.34VOL 48.3K
RES: $9.30SUP: $7.95SMA50: $8.90SMA200: $7.18
$10.48$9.08$7.69$6.29$4.90RES $9.30SUP $7.95$8.342026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ACOG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ACOG Butterfly Map → + Track ACOG →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -69.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ACOG today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ACOG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ACOG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ACOG)

Industrials Rank #342 of 486 ⚔️ TII vs ACOG Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (ACOG vs. TII, QNC, RVII, BMMX)

Industry: Diversified Equities (43 Tracked Issuers)

Across 486 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Alpha Cognition Inc. (ACOG) ranks #342 by composite RQD confidence (39/100, grade D-) and #354 by equity capitalization ($190.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ACOG leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while ACOG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -35.0% ROIC and 94.1% gross margin. BMMX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 50/100 (D) compared with ACOG at 39/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ACOG ACTIVE
Alpha Cognition Inc.
D- 39/100 — 94.1% -35.0% -4.58% $190.3M Benchmark Subject
TII
Titan Mining Corporation
D 45/100 — — — +0.50% $197.0M /tii-vs-acog →
QNC
Quantum eMotion Corp.
D 44/100 — — — -4.05% $219.4M /qnc-vs-acog →
RVII
Robinhood Ventures Fund II of
D- 43/100 — — — -3.82% $149.6M /rvii-vs-acog →
BMMX
Black Mammoth Metals Corporation
D 50/100 — — — +3.62% $149.1M /bmmx-vs-acog →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001655923 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Alpha Cognition Inc. (ACOG) reported GAAP revenue of $10.2M (-69.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $33.6M , and -63.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$20.7M, operating cash flow of -$20.4M, and free cash flow of -$20.7M (-165.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, ACOG closed FY2025 with $79.7M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 5.52, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $10.2M -$20.7M -$20.4M -$20.7M $79.7M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $33.6M -$14.8M -$7.8M -$7.8M $50.7M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $27.8M -$13.8M -$8.8M -$8.8M — —

3. ACOG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ACOG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Alpha Cognition Inc. (NASDAQ: ACOG) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 39/100 at a spot price of $8.34 (-4.58% 1D, market cap $190.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, ACOG ranks #342 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ACOG compare to TII and QNC in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Diversified Equities), ACOG carries a Roarable D- (39/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 94.1%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, TII (Titan Mining Corporation) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $197.0M) and QNC (Quantum eMotion Corp.) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $219.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ACOG leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while ACOG leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ACOG?

Per ACOG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001655923), Alpha Cognition Inc. generated $10.2M in revenue (-69.6% YoY), -$20.7M in net income, and -$20.7M in free cash flow against $79.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ACOG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ACOG last traded at $8.34 (-4.58% on volume of 57,345 shares), positioning the stock -6.29% below its 50-day simple moving average ($8.90) and +16.16% above its 200-day simple moving average ($7.18). Across its 52-week range of $4.50 to $10.14, ACOG sits at the 68.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 49.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.5% ($7.46 to $9.22).

Direct Sub-Reports: ACOG RQD Cockpit ACOG 12M Forecast ACOG Earnings & Move ACOG Dividends & DRIP ACOG Insiders & 13F ACOG Whale Options ACOG Profit Sankey ACOG News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 39/100 (D-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

ACOG — Alpha Cognition Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Alpha Cognition Inc. (ACOG) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 39/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $8.34 (-4.58% 1D, market capitalization $190.3M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (6/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -35.0%, gross margin of 94.1%, operating margin of -60.0%, and free cash flow yield of -10.33%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (11/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (8/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (11/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 5.52, Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Alpha Cognition Inc. (ACOG) is listed on NASDAQ and classified in the Industrials sector and Diversified Equities industry.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Alpha Cognition Inc. (ACOG) reported $10.2M in annual revenue (up from $33.6M in FY2024, -69.6% YoY) and -$20.7M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($27.8M revenue, -$13.8M net income) through FY2025, ACOG scaled operating cash flow to -$20.4M and free cash flow to -$20.7M, backed by $79.7M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D- • RQD 39/100): Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -10.33% and institutional whale pillar of 11/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 6/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 11/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $4.50 – $10.14 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -60.0% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Diversified Equities (Industrials), ACOG carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of 94.1%.

  • Key Question #1: Can ACOG sustain or expand its -60.0% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against Diversified Equities peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $10.2M and free cash flow of -$20.7M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is ACOG's equity valuation to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

ACOG Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Alpha Cognition Inc. (ACOG) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ACOG Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ACOG Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $8.34?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ACOG 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ACOG:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeepValue_CFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Institutional Buy-Side 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $10.75 (+23.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Cash rose to $66.0M in FY 2025 while institutional and 10% owner purchases are reported in the news feed, supporting a 94.1% gross marg

The street is overcomplicating Alpha Cognition Inc. (ACOG). Cash rose to $66.0M in FY 2025 while institutional and 10% owner purchases are reported in the news feed, supporting a 94.1% gross margin business with a 5.52 Altman Z-Score.. With an RQD score of 39/100 (D-) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 11/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $9.44.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

@RedlineAuditor Shorting a 11/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $8.74 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Industrials.

RE RedlineAuditor RQD DEBATE OPENER • Accounting Quality Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $7.34 (-16.0%)
Spot @ $8.74

Operating margin of -60% and ROIC of -35% alongside a -10.33% FCF yield and an insider pillar scoring 3 of 20 signal persistent cash bu

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short ACOG above $8.74. Operating margin of -60% and ROIC of -35% alongside a -10.33% FCF yield and an insider pillar scoring 3 of 20 signal persistent cash burn without insider-led confidence.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (6/20) and FCF yield (-10.33%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $10.14.

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