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Axcelis Technologies Inc. (ACLS) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$95.15 -4.92% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $94.13

Axcelis Technologies Inc. (ACLS) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 52/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $3.09B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ACLS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Axcelis Technologies Inc. (NASDAQ: ACLS) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 52/100 at a spot price of $95.15 (-4.92% 1D, market cap $3.09B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 11/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, ACLS ranks #316 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ACLS compare to ACMR and LPL in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), ACLS carries a Roarable D+ (52/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 28.8x, gross margin of 44.9%, and ROIC of 10.6%. By comparison, ACMR (ACM Research Inc. (Class A)) holds a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E 36.5x, ROIC 9.8%, cap $3.17B) and LPL (LG Display Co Ltd AMERICAN DEPOSITORY SHARES) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.59B). Among the 5-stock peer group, EPAC leads on earnings multiple (21.7x) while EPAC leads on capital efficiency (22.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ACLS?
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Per ACLS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001113232), Axcelis Technologies Inc. generated $839.0M in revenue (-17.6% YoY), $120.2M in net income, and $107.0M in free cash flow against $1.36B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (44.9% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $94.12 (-1.08%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 12.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 52/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510052
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+
Cash (15)Whales (4)SEC (16)Macro (6)CEO (11)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.7% Base Target
$203 Bull$93 Base$72 Bear
📬 FREE ACLS RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ACLS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (52/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ACLS SCORES 52/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (31% of score)

Altman Z-Score 8.43 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+15/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 12.8% FCF Margin ($107.0M FCF) & 44.9% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
60
Grade C$124.88-9.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
57
Grade C$112.93+0.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
55
Grade C$113.64-16.3% Next Q
Current
52
Grade D+$95.15-1.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (60) → D+ (52)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ACLS Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ACLS currently carries a cautious 52/100 (D+) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Strong cash generator (44.9% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ACLS• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ACLS Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
YES 52%NO 48%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your ACLS Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $95.15: 105.1 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $72.21
$7,589
$-2,411 (-24.1%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $92.58
$9,730
$-270 (-2.7%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $203.47
$21,384
+$11,384 (+113.8%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (32 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 6
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$9674%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$19169%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$8258%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ACLS)

  • ✓Walkthrough of ACLS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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ACLS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -32.93%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $112.0H $112.0L $95.15C $95.15VOL 524.5K
RES: $152.8SUP: $93.52SMA50: $117.7SMA200: $123.3
$201.1$170.8$140.4$110.1$79.80RES $152.8SUP $93.52$95.152026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ACLS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ACLS Butterfly Map → + Track ACLS →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
22.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -17.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ACLS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ACLS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ACLS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ACLS)

Technology Rank #316 of 715 ⚔️ ACMR vs ACLS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (ACLS vs. ACMR, LPL, VECO, EPAC)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 715 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Axcelis Technologies Inc. (ACLS) ranks #316 by composite RQD confidence (52/100, grade D+) and #249 by equity capitalization ($3.09B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, EPAC leads on earnings valuation at 21.7x trailing P/E, while EPAC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 22.4% ROIC and 50.5% gross margin. EPAC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 77/100 (B+) compared with ACLS at 52/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ACLS ACTIVE
Axcelis Technologies Inc.
D+ 52/100 28.8x 44.9% 10.6% -4.92% $3.09B Benchmark Subject
ACMR
ACM Research Inc. (Class A)
D- 37/100 36.5x 44.4% 9.8% -2.90% $3.17B /acmr-vs-acls →
LPL
LG Display Co Ltd AMERICAN DEPOSITORY SHARES
D 44/100 — — — +0.39% $2.59B /lpl-vs-acls →
VECO
Veeco Instruments Inc.
D 50/100 73.9x 40.0% 3.0% -4.12% $2.38B /veco-vs-acls →
EPAC
Enerpac Tool Group Corp.
B+ 77/100 21.7x 50.5% 22.4% +7.13% $2.08B /epac-vs-acls →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001113232 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Axcelis Technologies Inc. (ACLS) reported GAAP revenue of $839.0M (-17.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.02B , and -25.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $120.2M, operating cash flow of $118.3M, and free cash flow of $107.0M (-16.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, ACLS closed FY2025 with $1.36B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 8.43, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $839.0M $120.2M $118.3M $107.0M $1.36B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.02B $201.0M $140.8M $128.6M $1.35B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.13B $246.3M $156.9M $156.9M — —

3. ACLS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ACLS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Axcelis Technologies Inc. (NASDAQ: ACLS) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 52/100 at a spot price of $95.15 (-4.92% 1D, market cap $3.09B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 11/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, ACLS ranks #316 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ACLS compare to ACMR and LPL in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), ACLS carries a Roarable D+ (52/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 28.8x, gross margin of 44.9%, and ROIC of 10.6%. By comparison, ACMR (ACM Research Inc. (Class A)) holds a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E 36.5x, ROIC 9.8%, cap $3.17B) and LPL (LG Display Co Ltd AMERICAN DEPOSITORY SHARES) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.59B). Among the 5-stock peer group, EPAC leads on earnings multiple (21.7x) while EPAC leads on capital efficiency (22.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ACLS?

Per ACLS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001113232), Axcelis Technologies Inc. generated $839.0M in revenue (-17.6% YoY), $120.2M in net income, and $107.0M in free cash flow against $1.36B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (44.9% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ACLS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ACLS last traded at $95.15 (-4.92% on volume of 449,504 shares), positioning the stock -19.19% below its 50-day simple moving average ($117.74) and -22.80% below its 200-day simple moving average ($123.25). Across its 52-week range of $73.60 to $193.78, ACLS sits at the 17.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 39.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.8% ($84.87 to $105.43).

Direct Sub-Reports: ACLS RQD Cockpit ACLS 12M Forecast ACLS Earnings & Move ACLS Dividends & DRIP ACLS Insiders & 13F ACLS Whale Options ACLS Profit Sankey ACLS News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 52/100 (D+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

ACLS — Axcelis Technologies Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Axcelis Technologies Inc. (ACLS) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 52/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $95.15 (-4.92% 1D, market capitalization $3.09B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (15/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 10.6%, gross margin of 44.9%, operating margin of 14.2%, and free cash flow yield of 3.09%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (4/20) + Insider Conviction (11/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (6/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (16/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 8.43, Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Axcelis Technologies Inc. (ACLS) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified in the Technology sector and the Industrial Machinery/Components industry..5B. — for product lines, customer base, or revenue model detail.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Axcelis Technologies Inc. (ACLS) reported $839.0M in annual revenue (up from $1.02B in FY2024, -17.6% YoY) and $120.2M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.13B revenue, $246.3M net income) through FY2025, ACLS scaled operating cash flow to $118.3M and free cash flow to $107.0M, backed by $1.36B in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D+ • RQD 52/100): Strong cash generator (44.9% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 15/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 4/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $73.60 – $193.78 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 28.8x trailing P/E and 25.7x EV/EBITDA against 14.2% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

— the supply chain is NONE, with no upstream or downstream links and no sector correlations provided.

  • Key Question #1: Can ACLS sustain or expand its 14.2% operating margin and 10.6% ROIC against Industrial Machinery/Components peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $839.0M and free cash flow of $107.0M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is ACLS's 26.8x forward P/E multiple to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

ACLS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Axcelis Technologies Inc. (ACLS) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ACLS Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ACLS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $95.15?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ACLS 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ACLS:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
SI SiliconVal_Bull RQD DEBATE OPENER • Growth & Tech Investor 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $125.09 (+25.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

The balance sheet scores 16/20 on forensic metrics, including an Altman Z-Score of 8.43, supporting financial resilience.

Don't sleep on ACLS's setup in Technology. The balance sheet scores 16/20 on forensic metrics, including an Altman Z-Score of 8.43, supporting financial resilience.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (52/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@FadeTheHype Fair point on 28.8x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Industrial Machinery/Components. If gross margin (44.9%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

FA FadeTheHype RQD DEBATE OPENER • Contrarian Tape Reader 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $77.05 (-23.0%)
Spot @ $100.07

Revenue fell from $1.13B in FY 2023 to $839.0M in FY 2025, while the P/E (TTM) of 28.8 prices in a recovery the data does not show.

I respect the product at Axcelis Technologies Inc., but the stock at $100.07 is a different story. Revenue fell from $1.13B in FY 2023 to $839.0M in FY 2025, while the P/E (TTM) of 28.8 prices in a recovery the data does not show.. FCF yield is 3.09% and RQD sits at 52/100 (D+) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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