Should I buy, hold, or sell VNOM stock right now?

Viper Energy Inc. (VNOM) currently earns a Roarable Rating of C (Hold — HOLD) with 64/100 RQD Confidence. Solid steady margins (-2% return on capital), mixed timing at current multiples—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

What is VNOM's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

VNOM's 12-month base price target is $46.95 (range $36.62 to $55.4), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Stock Ratings / Energy / VNOM

APA (82) OVV (74) EXE (65) PR (72) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Viper Energy Inc. (VNOM) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$45.72 -4.11% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $45.29

Viper Energy Inc. (VNOM) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 64/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $17.13B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on VNOM Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is VNOM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Viper Energy Inc. (NASDAQ: VNOM) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $45.72 (-4.11% 1D, market cap $17.13B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 13/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, VNOM ranks #70 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does VNOM compare to APA and OVV in the Energy sector?

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Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), VNOM carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -1.7%. By comparison, APA (APA Corporation) holds a A- grade (82/100 RQD, P/E 12.6x, ROIC 26.6%, cap $18.51B) and OVV (Ovintiv Inc.) posts a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 16.3x, ROIC 5.7%, cap $20.53B). Among the 5-stock peer group, EXE leads on earnings multiple (11.5x) while APA leads on capital efficiency (26.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for VNOM?

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Per VNOM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002074176), Viper Energy Inc. generated $1.35B in revenue (+57.6% YoY), -$206.0M in net income, and $992.4M in free cash flow against $12.67B in total assets and $2.19B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $45.29 (-0.93%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 73.7% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 64/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk C-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.7% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for VNOM)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (64/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY VNOM SCORES 64/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+14/20 pts (22% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±4.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (20% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 73.7% FCF Margin ($992.4M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (66.6) create a -8 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$44.13+3.5% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$45.68+1.7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$46.46-1.6% Next Q

Current

Grade C$45.72+1.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (56) → C (64)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the VNOM Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 64/100 (C) score, VNOM faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($43.98) or 200D SMA ($44.57) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($46.95) toward Bear Floor ($36.62).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $VNOM• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “VNOM Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 64%NO 36%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM

66.630 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

4.44>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)

7 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE66% OF RANGE

L: $35$45.72H: $51

1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (steady margins), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: CRQD 13 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: C+RQD 27 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 24 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on VNOM

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

NEUTRAL (65)

-1.7% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 5.90% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

NEUTRAL (60)

Altman-Z 4.44 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

NEUTRAL (65)

27/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 12/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like VNOM

✓Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (VNOM Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

VNOM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -10.26%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-11-03O $46.83H $47.68L $45.72C $45.72VOL 1.66M

RES: $47.89SUP: $39.62SMA50: $43.98SMA200: $44.57

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

VNOM Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 VNOM Butterfly Map → + Track VNOM →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

25.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +57.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on VNOM today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for VNOM. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for VNOM today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (VNOM)

Energy Rank #70 of 211 ⚔️ APA vs VNOM Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (VNOM vs. APA, OVV, EXE, PR)

Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Viper Energy Inc. (VNOM) ranks #70 by composite RQD confidence (64/100, grade C) and #52 by equity capitalization ($17.13B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, EXE leads on earnings valuation at 11.5x trailing P/E, while APA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 26.6% ROIC and — gross margin. APA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 82/100 (A-) compared with VNOM at 64/100 (C).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
VNOM ACTIVE Viper Energy Inc.	C	64/100	—	—	-1.7%	-4.11%	$17.13B	Benchmark Subject
APA APA Corporation	A-	82/100	12.6x	—	26.6%	-7.57%	$18.51B	/apa-vs-vnom →
OVV Ovintiv Inc.	B	74/100	16.3x	—	5.7%	-6.66%	$20.53B	/ovv-vs-vnom →
EXE Expand Energy Corporation	C	65/100	11.5x	—	8.5%	-1.20%	$20.91B	/exe-vs-vnom →
PR Permian Resources Corporation	B	72/100	—	—	8.5%	-5.61%	$21.79B	/pr-vs-vnom →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002074176 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Viper Energy Inc. (VNOM) reported GAAP revenue of $1.35B (+57.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $854.0M , and +87.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$206.0M, operating cash flow of $1.05B, and free cash flow of $992.4M (+70.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, VNOM closed FY2025 with $12.67B in total assets against $2.19B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.44, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$1.35B	-$206.0M	$1.05B	$992.4M	$12.67B	$2.19B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$854.0M	$604.0M	$620.0M	$581.6M	$5.07B	$1.08B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$717.0M	$501.0M	$638.0M	$605.7M	$9.25B	$2.16B

3. VNOM Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is VNOM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does VNOM compare to APA and OVV in the Energy sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for VNOM?

Where is VNOM trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

VNOM last traded at $45.72 (-4.11% on volume of 2,177,556 shares), positioning the stock +3.96% above its 50-day simple moving average ($43.98) and +2.58% above its 200-day simple moving average ($44.57). Across its 52-week range of $35.10 to $51.13, VNOM sits at the 66.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 66.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.5% ($43.66 to $47.78).

Direct Sub-Reports: VNOM RQD Cockpit VNOM 12M Forecast VNOM Earnings & Move VNOM Dividends & DRIP VNOM Insiders & 13F VNOM Whale Options VNOM Profit Sankey VNOM News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 64/100 (C) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

VNOM — Viper Energy Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Viper Energy Inc. (VNOM) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 64/100, corresponding to a C letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $45.72 (-4.11% 1D, market capitalization $17.13B).

Fundamental Cash Engine (13/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -1.7%, gross margin of —, operating margin of -10.4%, and free cash flow yield of 5.90%.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (14/20) + Insider Conviction (13/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (12/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (12/20): Incorporates a 1.14x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 4.44, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.49x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Viper Energy Inc. (VNOM) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Energy sector, classified under Oil & Gas Production..8B. — for specific product lines, customer base, or revenue mechanics beyond the sector and industry classification.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Viper Energy Inc. (VNOM) reported $1.35B in annual revenue (up from $854.0M in FY2024, +57.6% YoY) and -$206.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($717.0M revenue, $501.0M net income) through FY2025, VNOM scaled operating cash flow to $1.05B and free cash flow to $992.4M, backed by $12.67B in total assets against $2.19B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (C • RQD 64/100): Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 5.90% and institutional whale pillar of 14/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 13/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 14/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $35.10 – $51.13 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Investors must weigh current valuation against -10.4% operating margins and a 1.14x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph records no upstream or downstream links and no sector-correlation signals for VNOM.

Key Question #1: Can VNOM sustain or expand its -10.4% operating margin and -1.7% ROIC against Oil & Gas Production peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.35B and free cash flow of $992.4M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $2.19B in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is VNOM's 33.0x forward P/E multiple to Energy capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.14x)?

VNOM Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Viper Energy Inc. (VNOM) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to VNOM Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo! Finance Canada • 21h ago

Viper Energy, Inc. (VNOM) Stock Price, News, Quote & History

Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Viper Energy Inc. (VNOM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Investing.com • 1d ago

Mizuho raises Viper Energy stock price target on production outlook

Investing.com report covering Viper Energy Inc. (VNOM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Seeking Alpha • 1d ago

Viper Energy: Hedge Structure Allows For Full Participation In Oil Pricing Upside (VNOM)

Seeking Alpha report covering Viper Energy Inc. (VNOM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Simply Wall St • 1d ago

Viper Energy (Nasdaq:VNOM) - Stock Analysis

Simply Wall St report covering Viper Energy Inc. (VNOM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE The Globe and Mail • 1d ago

Viper Energy (VNOM): 3 reasons we love this stock

The Globe and Mail report covering Viper Energy Inc. (VNOM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH TradingView • 1d ago

Viper Energy, Inc. Stock 12‑Month Price Target Cut to $54.35, Implies 27% Upside

TradingView report covering Viper Energy Inc. (VNOM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST GuruFocus • 1d ago

Viper Energy Inc (VNOM) Shares Surge 3.5% -- What GF Score of 88 Tells Investors

GuruFocus report covering Viper Energy Inc. (VNOM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH Seeking Alpha • 1d ago

Viper Energy: Better Royalty Yields Are Elsewhere (Downgrade) (NASDAQ:VNOM)

Seeking Alpha report covering Viper Energy Inc. (VNOM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

VNOM Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $45.72?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON VNOM 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

AL AlphaFlow_Cap RQD DEBATE OPENER • Verified $100K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $55.79 (+17.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

Free cash flow of $992.4M in FY 2025 and a 5.9% FCF yield anchor the cash engine pillar despite reported losses.

The street is overcomplicating Viper Energy Inc. (VNOM). Free cash flow of $992.4M in FY 2025 and a 5.9% FCF yield anchor the cash engine pillar despite reported losses.. With an RQD score of 64/100 (C) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 12/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $51.49.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — VNOM's 12/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

CR CreditSpread_Watch RQD DEBATE OPENER • Balance Sheet Analyst 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $38.62 (-19.0%)

Spot @ $47.68

Net income swung to -$206.0M in FY 2025 from $604.0M in FY 2024, with ROIC at -1.7% and EPS at -0.57.

Careful chasing VNOM at $47.68. Net income swung to -$206.0M in FY 2025 from $604.0M in FY 2024, with ROIC at -1.7% and EPS at -0.57.. Gross margin is 0.0%, but operating margin is -10.4%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $38.62 on multiple compression.