Venture Global Inc. (VG) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$12.87 -12.98% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.54

Venture Global Inc. (VG) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 53/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $36.98B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is VG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Venture Global Inc. (NYSE: VG) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $12.87 (-12.98% 1D, market cap $36.98B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, VG ranks #119 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does VG compare to ATO and LNG in the Energy sector?
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Within the Energy sector (Oil/Gas Transmission), VG carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 9.2x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 10.8%. By comparison, ATO (Atmos Energy Corporation) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 24.1x, ROIC 6.2%, cap $29.14B) and LNG (Cheniere Energy Inc.) posts a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 9.7x, ROIC 24.5%, cap $67.45B). Among the 5-stock peer group, VG leads on earnings multiple (9.2x) while LNG leads on capital efficiency (24.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for VG?
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Per VG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002007855), Venture Global Inc. generated $13.77B in revenue (+176.9% YoY), $0 in net income, and -$6.80B in free cash flow against $53.45B in total assets and $33.39B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.54 (-2.53%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.80% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510053
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C- · Rk D-
Cash (10)Whales (17)SEC (8)Macro (9)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.3% Base Target
$19 Bull$13 Base$10 Bear
📬 FREE VG RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for VG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (53/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY VG SCORES 53/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+17/20 pts (32% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±9.9% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (19% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 12 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
61
Grade C$13.27-3.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
58
Grade C$12.85+11.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
56
Grade C$14.35-10.3% Next Q
Current
53
Grade D+$12.87-0.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (61) → D+ (53)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a VG Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While VG currently carries a cautious 53/100 (D+) rating due to SEC 10-K Forensic Risk (8/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($13.88) and Max Pain ($13.51) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $18.50.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.80% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $VG• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “VG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM
63.630 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDDISTRESS RISK (<1.8)
1.23>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)
5 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE60% OF RANGE
L: $6$12.87H: $18
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: DRQD 10 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: CRQD 26 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 17 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on VG

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (50)

10.8% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and -18.00% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (40)

Altman-Z 1.23 and Piotroski 5/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
NEUTRAL (58)

26/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 9/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like VG
  • ✓Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring VG)

  • ✓Walkthrough of VG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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VG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -6.54%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $14.77H $14.79L $12.87C $12.87VOL 23.48M
RES: $17.17SUP: $11.67SMA50: $13.88SMA200: $12.80
$16.72$14.97$13.22$11.47$9.72RES $17.17SUP $11.67$12.872026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

VG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-2.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +176.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on VG today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for VG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for VG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (VG)

Energy Rank #119 of 211 ⚔️ ATO vs VG Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (VG vs. ATO, LNG, NFG, UGP)

Industry: Oil/Gas Transmission (13 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Venture Global Inc. (VG) ranks #119 by composite RQD confidence (53/100, grade D+) and #36 by equity capitalization ($36.98B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, VG leads on earnings valuation at 9.2x trailing P/E, while LNG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 24.5% ROIC and — gross margin. LNG currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 69/100 (C+) compared with VG at 53/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
VG ACTIVE
Venture Global Inc.
D+ 53/100 9.2x — 10.8% -12.98% $36.98B Benchmark Subject
ATO
Atmos Energy Corporation
C 65/100 24.1x — 6.2% +1.30% $29.14B /ato-vs-vg →
LNG
Cheniere Energy Inc.
C+ 69/100 9.7x — 24.5% -5.65% $67.45B /lng-vs-vg →
NFG
National Fuel Gas Company
D+ 58/100 14.5x 90.4% 9.7% +0.15% $7.56B /nfg-vs-vg →
UGP
Ultrapar Participacoes S.A. (Each representing one Common Share)
D 48/100 — — — -1.89% $6.47B /ugp-vs-vg →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002007855

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Venture Global Inc. (VG) reported GAAP revenue of $13.77B (+176.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $4.97B , and +74.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $6.57B, and free cash flow of -$6.80B (+41.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, VG closed FY2025 with $53.45B in total assets against $33.39B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.23, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $13.77B $0 $6.57B -$6.80B $53.45B $33.39B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $4.97B $0 $2.15B -$11.57B $43.49B $29.09B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $7.90B $0 $4.55B $4.19B $20.31B $4.75B

3. VG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is VG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Venture Global Inc. (NYSE: VG) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $12.87 (-12.98% 1D, market cap $36.98B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, VG ranks #119 in composite RQD confidence.

How does VG compare to ATO and LNG in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oil/Gas Transmission), VG carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 9.2x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 10.8%. By comparison, ATO (Atmos Energy Corporation) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 24.1x, ROIC 6.2%, cap $29.14B) and LNG (Cheniere Energy Inc.) posts a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 9.7x, ROIC 24.5%, cap $67.45B). Among the 5-stock peer group, VG leads on earnings multiple (9.2x) while LNG leads on capital efficiency (24.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for VG?

Per VG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002007855), Venture Global Inc. generated $13.77B in revenue (+176.9% YoY), $0 in net income, and -$6.80B in free cash flow against $53.45B in total assets and $33.39B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is VG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

VG last traded at $12.87 (-12.98% on volume of 34,700,706 shares), positioning the stock -7.28% below its 50-day simple moving average ($13.88) and +0.55% above its 200-day simple moving average ($12.80). Across its 52-week range of $5.72 to $17.62, VG sits at the 60.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 63.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.9% ($11.60 to $14.14).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 53/100 (D+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

VG — Venture Global Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:11:54Z

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

VG scores 54 out of 100, earning a D+ grade and the verdict "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 10 / 20. ROIC is 10.8%, but the FCF yield is -18%. For a prospective investor, this means the business is currently consuming more cash than it generates relative to its market value, which weakens the case that earnings are converting into distributable cash.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 17 / 20. This is the strongest pillar, reflecting institutional accumulation and options positioning. For an investor, this points to meaningful professional interest, though institutional buying alone does not resolve the fundamental concerns in the other pillars.
  • Insider Conviction: 9 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The below-midpoint score suggests insider activity provides only modest confirmation of conviction.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 10 / 20. Beta is 1.05 and the rating notes sector sensitivity. For an investor, this indicates the stock tends to move roughly in line with the broader market, with exposure to sector-specific swings.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 8 / 20. The Altman Z-Score is 1.23, the Piotroski F-Score is 5/9, and Debt/Equity is 4.95. These metrics collectively signal balance-sheet stress and leverage that a prospective investor should weigh carefully.

Taken together, the pillars indicate that institutional interest and reported operating profitability are offset by weak cash generation and a stretched balance sheet. The verdict frames the stock as one where fundamentals currently do not support the rating's higher tiers.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Venture Global Inc. (VG) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Energy sector, operating within the Oil/Gas Transmission industry. Gross margin is reported as 0%, operating margin as 37.4%, and net margin as 29.2%, per the market data.

Reported net income is — in each listed period and EPS is N/A for FY 2025 and FY 2024, while FCF is negative in FY 2025 and FY 2024. Per the market data, ROIC is 10.8% and the FCF yield is -18%. The forensic metrics are an Altman Z-Score of 1.23, a Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 4.95. Debt rose from $4.75B (FY 2023) to $33.39B (FY 2025) in the reported periods.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case: Institutional accumulation and options positioning earn the strongest RQD pillar at 17 out of 20, with the stock trading at a forward P/E of 7.7. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 10/20 (ROIC 10.8%, FCF yield -18.00%) and Institutional Whale Flow at 17/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the top of the $5.72 – $17.62 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case: Negative FCF yield of -18%, Altman Z-Score of 1.23, and Debt/Equity of 4.95 signal weak cash generation and balance-sheet stress. Investors must weigh 9.2x trailing P/E and 4.1x EV/EBITDA against 37.4% operating margins and a 1.05 macro beta if sector demand softens.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks cannot be mapped from the source data. The only sector context available is the Energy / Oil-Gas Transmission classification and the beta of 1.05. Investors should treat the data center news items as unmapped to specific supply-chain relationships in the provided sources.

  • Key Question #1: Why is reported net income — across all listed periods while operating income is positive, and what drives the gap?
  • Key Question #2: What portion of the debt increase from FY 2023 to FY 2025 is tied to the LNG contracts and data center activity referenced in the news?
  • Key Question #3: How is the negative FCF in FY 2025 and FY 2024 expected to change, and what capital expenditures explain it?

VG Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Venture Global Inc. (VG) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to VG Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

VG Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $12.87?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON VG 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on VG:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeltaGamma_99 Options Flow Specialist 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $18.93 (+28.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Institutional accumulation and options positioning earn the strongest RQD pillar at 17 out of 20, with the stock trading at a forward P

Picked up a starter position in VG in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $14.79. Institutional accumulation and options positioning earn the strongest RQD pillar at 17 out of 20, with the stock trading at a forward P/E of 7.7.. Trading inside a $5.72–$17.62 52-week range with -18.0% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Oil/Gas Transmission multiples expand this quarter.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@DeltaGamma_99 Agree on the RQD 53/100 quality, though with 1.05 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $14.79 and keeping dry powder in case we test $13.75.

SK SkepticalCFA Fundamental Contrarian 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $12.28 (-17.0%)
Spot @ $14.79

Negative FCF yield of -18%, Altman Z-Score of 1.23, and Debt/Equity of 4.95 signal weak cash generation and balance-sheet stress.

Negative FCF yield of -18%, Altman Z-Score of 1.23, and Debt/Equity of 4.95 signal weak cash generation and balance-sheet stress.. Look at the math on VG: paying 9.2x trailing P/E for 10.8% ROIC and 37.4% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Oil/Gas Transmission demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $13.02 before getting long.

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