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Stock Ratings / Consumer Staples / STZ
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Constellation Brands Inc. (STZ) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$140.67 +3.95% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $141.40

Constellation Brands Inc. (STZ) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 69/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $22.90B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on STZ Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is STZ stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Constellation Brands Inc. (NYSE: STZ) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 69/100 at a spot price of $140.67 (+3.95% 1D, market cap $22.90B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 18/20. Across 147 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, STZ ranks #20 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does STZ compare to COKE and ABEV in the Consumer Staples sector?
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Within the Consumer Staples sector (Beverages (Production/Distribution)), STZ carries a Roarable C+ (69/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 13.1x, gross margin of 51.6%, and ROIC of 12.0%. By comparison, COKE (Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc.) holds a A- grade (81/100 RQD, P/E 24.4x, ROIC 45.1%, cap $14.00B) and ABEV (Ambev S.A. American) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $41.93B). Among the 5-stock peer group, STZ leads on earnings multiple (13.1x) while COKE leads on capital efficiency (45.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for STZ?
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Per STZ's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-02-28, CIK 0000016918), Constellation Brands Inc. generated $9.14B in revenue (-10.5% YoY), $1.69B in net income, and $1.79B in free cash flow against $21.68B in total assets and $10.29B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $141.40 (+0.52%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 19.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 69/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+2.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 57.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510069
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk C
Cash (12)Whales (13)SEC (14)Macro (12)CEO (18)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.9% Base Target
$177 Bull$148 Base$115 Bear
📬 FREE STZ RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for STZ)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (69/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY STZ SCORES 69/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+18/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (20% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.72 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (60.3) create a -8 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
61
Grade C$127.41+3.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
64
Grade C+$132.02-1.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
66
Grade B-$129.80+8.4% Next Q
Current
69
Grade C+$140.67+2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (61) → C+ (69)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the STZ Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 69/100 (C+) score, STZ faces multiple-compression risk if 13.1x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.1% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($125.16) or 200D SMA ($141.41) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($147.63) toward Bear Floor ($115.15).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $STZ• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “STZ Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Nov 28, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 69%NO 31%Trade / Inspect Odds →
RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM
60.330 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDWATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)
2.72>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)
7 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE52% OF RANGE
L: $111$140.67H: $169
1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (51.6% gross margin), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 12 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● BUYING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Hedge funds and options traders are leaning bullish, showing strong institutional appetite.

Factor Grade: B+RQD 31 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: CRQD 26 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish on STZ

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
NEUTRAL (60)

12.0% ROIC with 51.6% gross margin and 8.13% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BULLISH (70)

Altman-Z 2.72 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BULLISH (72)

31/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 12/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like STZ
  • ✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (STZ Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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STZ // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -5.04%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-11-03O $130.4H $140.7L $130.4C $140.7VOL 3.43M
RES: $140.0SUP: $104.3SMA50: $125.2SMA200: $141.4
$157.6$144.9$132.1$119.4$106.6RES $140.0SUP $104.3$140.72026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

STZ Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 STZ Butterfly Map → + Track STZ →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
4.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -10.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on STZ today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for STZ. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for STZ today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (STZ)

Consumer Staples Rank #20 of 147 ⚔️ COKE vs STZ Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (STZ vs. COKE, ABEV, FMX, KDP)

Industry: Beverages (Production/Distribution) (35 Tracked Issuers)

Across 147 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Constellation Brands Inc. (STZ) ranks #20 by composite RQD confidence (69/100, grade C+) and #22 by equity capitalization ($22.90B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, STZ leads on earnings valuation at 13.1x trailing P/E, while COKE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 45.1% ROIC and 39.7% gross margin. COKE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 81/100 (A-) compared with STZ at 69/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
STZ ACTIVE
Constellation Brands Inc.
C+ 69/100 13.1x 51.6% 12.0% +3.95% $22.90B Benchmark Subject
COKE
Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc.
A- 81/100 24.4x 39.7% 45.1% -0.39% $14.00B /coke-vs-stz →
ABEV
Ambev S.A. American
D+ 53/100 32.8x — 9.9% +1.13% $41.93B /abev-vs-stz →
FMX
Fomento Economico Mexicano S.A.B. de C.V.
C+ 68/100 32.8x — 9.9% +0.87% $42.96B /fmx-vs-stz →
KDP
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.
C 65/100 23.1x 54.2% 7.5% +2.73% $48.77B /kdp-vs-stz →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-02-28 • CIK 0000016918 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-02-28), Constellation Brands Inc. (STZ) reported GAAP revenue of $9.14B (-10.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $10.21B , and -8.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $1.69B, operating cash flow of $2.67B, and free cash flow of $1.79B (-7.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, STZ closed FY2025 with $21.68B in total assets against $10.29B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.72, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-02-28 $9.14B $1.69B $2.67B $1.79B $21.68B $10.29B
FY2024 (FY) 2025-02-28 $10.21B -$81.4M $3.15B $1.94B $22.81B $10.19B
FY2023 (FY) 2024-02-29 $9.96B $1.73B $2.78B $2.33B $12.13B $2.84B

3. STZ Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is STZ stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Constellation Brands Inc. (NYSE: STZ) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 69/100 at a spot price of $140.67 (+3.95% 1D, market cap $22.90B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 18/20. Across 147 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, STZ ranks #20 in composite RQD confidence.

How does STZ compare to COKE and ABEV in the Consumer Staples sector?

Within the Consumer Staples sector (Beverages (Production/Distribution)), STZ carries a Roarable C+ (69/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 13.1x, gross margin of 51.6%, and ROIC of 12.0%. By comparison, COKE (Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc.) holds a A- grade (81/100 RQD, P/E 24.4x, ROIC 45.1%, cap $14.00B) and ABEV (Ambev S.A. American) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $41.93B). Among the 5-stock peer group, STZ leads on earnings multiple (13.1x) while COKE leads on capital efficiency (45.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for STZ?

Per STZ's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-02-28, CIK 0000016918), Constellation Brands Inc. generated $9.14B in revenue (-10.5% YoY), $1.69B in net income, and $1.79B in free cash flow against $21.68B in total assets and $10.29B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is STZ trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

STZ last traded at $140.67 (+3.95% on volume of 2,812,854 shares), positioning the stock +12.39% above its 50-day simple moving average ($125.16) and -0.52% below its 200-day simple moving average ($141.41). Across its 52-week range of $110.60 to $168.60, STZ sits at the 51.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 60.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.0% ($133.64 to $147.70).

Direct Sub-Reports: STZ RQD Cockpit STZ 12M Forecast STZ Earnings & Move STZ Dividends & DRIP STZ Insiders & 13F STZ Whale Options STZ Profit Sankey STZ News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 69/100 (C+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

STZ — Constellation Brands Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-02-28

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Constellation Brands Inc. (STZ) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 69/100, corresponding to a C+ letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $140.67 (+3.95% 1D, market capitalization $22.90B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 12.0%, gross margin of 51.6%, operating margin of 29.8%, and free cash flow yield of 8.13%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (13/20) + Insider Conviction (18/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (12/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (14/20): Incorporates a 1.09x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 2.72, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 1.33x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Constellation Brands Inc. Is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Consumer Staples sector, operating in the Beverages (Production/Distribution) industry. Its market capitalization is $22.1B. Per the market data, the company reports a gross margin of 51.6%, an operating margin of 29.8%, and a net margin of 18.5%.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2026-02-28), Constellation Brands Inc. (STZ) reported $9.14B in annual revenue (up from $10.21B in FY2024, -10.5% YoY) and $1.69B in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($9.96B revenue, $1.73B net income) through FY2025, STZ scaled operating cash flow to $2.67B and free cash flow to $1.79B, backed by $21.68B in total assets against $10.29B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C+ • RQD 69/100): Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Free cash flow yield of 8.13% and institutional whale pillar of 13/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 13/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $110.60 – $168.60 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 13.1x trailing P/E and 9.3x EV/EBITDA against 29.8% operating margins and a 1.09x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Beverages (Production/Distribution) (Consumer Staples), STZ carries a macro regime beta of 1.09 and gross margin of 51.6%.

  • Key Question #1: Can STZ sustain or expand its 29.8% operating margin and 12.0% ROIC against Beverages (Production/Distribution) peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $9.14B and free cash flow of $1.79B, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $10.29B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is STZ's 12.2x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Staples capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.09x)?

STZ Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Constellation Brands Inc. (STZ) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to STZ Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

STZ Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $140.67?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON STZ 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on STZ:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
BR BreakoutHunter RQD DEBATE OPENER • Swing & Catalyst Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $165.10 (+22.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Insider conviction scores 18/20 and the Forensic Balance Sheet scores 14/20, with ROIC at 12% and FCF yield at 8.13%.

Picked up a starter position in STZ in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $135.33. Insider conviction scores 18/20 and the Forensic Balance Sheet scores 14/20, with ROIC at 12% and FCF yield at 8.13%.. Trading inside a $110.60–$168.60 52-week range with 8.13% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Beverages (Production/Distribution) multiples expand this quarter.

SectorRotator 🐂 BULL

@BreakoutHunter Agree on the RQD 69/100 quality, though with 1.09 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $135.33 and keeping dry powder in case we test $125.86.

RE RedlineAuditor RQD DEBATE OPENER • Accounting Quality Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $108.26 (-20.0%)
Spot @ $135.33

Debt rose from $2.84B in FY 2023 to $10.29B in FY 2025 while revenue fell from $10.21B to $9.14B.

Careful chasing STZ at $135.33. Debt rose from $2.84B in FY 2023 to $10.29B in FY 2025 while revenue fell from $10.21B to $9.14B.. Gross margin is 51.6%, but operating margin is 29.8%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $108.26 on multiple compression.

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