Should I buy, hold, or sell PLBY stock right now?

Playboy Inc. (PLBY) currently earns a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell — SELL) with 25/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-4% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is PLBY's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

PLBY's 12-month base price target is $1.06 (range $0.83 to $2.89), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / PLBY

FLWS (27) HTLM (65) NEGG (13) RENT (39) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Playboy Inc. (PLBY) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$1.24 +5.09% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.25

Playboy Inc. (PLBY) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 25/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $141.4M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is PLBY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Playboy Inc. (NASDAQ: PLBY) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 25/100 at a spot price of $1.24 (+5.09% 1D, market cap $141.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 6/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, PLBY ranks #942 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does PLBY compare to FLWS and HTLM in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Other Specialty Stores), PLBY carries a Roarable E (25/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 71.0%, and ROIC of -4.1%. By comparison, FLWS (1-800-FLOWERS.COM Inc.) holds a E grade (27/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $184.9M) and HTLM (HomesToLife Ltd) posts a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 8.1x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $105.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, RENT leads on earnings multiple (4.4x) while HTLM leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PLBY?

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Per PLBY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001803914), Playboy Inc. generated $120.9M in revenue (+4.1% YoY), -$12.7M in net income, and -$1.0M in free cash flow against $292.4M in total assets and $172.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.25 (+0.73%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (25/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-14.5% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PLBY)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.9%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (25/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY PLBY SCORES 25/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+8/20 pts (32% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±9.9% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+6/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 0.20 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$1.02+10.8% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$1.13+0% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$1.13+9.7% Next Q

Current

Grade E$1.24-10.7% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (17) → E (25)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a PLBY Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While PLBY currently carries a cautious 25/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.10) and Max Pain ($1.30) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $2.89.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PLBY• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “PLBY Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 25%NO 75%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM

6530 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDDISTRESS RISK (<1.8)

0.20>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)

6 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE16% OF RANGE

L: $1$1.24H: $3

1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: ERQD 5 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 11 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: ERQD 9 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on PLBY

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BEARISH (25)

-4.1% ROIC with 71.0% gross margin and -0.72% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BEARISH (30)

Altman-Z 0.20 and Piotroski 6/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BEARISH (23)

11/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 3/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like PLBY

✓Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
!Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
!Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring PLBY)

✓Walkthrough of PLBY's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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PLBY // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -29.14%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-11-03O $1.17H $1.24L $1.17C $1.24VOL 681.5K

RES: $1.34SUP: $0.91SMA50: $1.10SMA200: $1.43

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PLBY Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 PLBY Butterfly Map → + Track PLBY →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +4.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PLBY today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PLBY. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PLBY today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PLBY)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #942 of 1009 ⚔️ FLWS vs PLBY Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (PLBY vs. FLWS, HTLM, NEGG, RENT)

Industry: Other Specialty Stores (42 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Playboy Inc. (PLBY) ranks #942 by composite RQD confidence (25/100, grade E) and #723 by equity capitalization ($141.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, RENT leads on earnings valuation at 4.4x trailing P/E, while HTLM leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 27.9% gross margin. HTLM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 65/100 (C) compared with PLBY at 25/100 (E).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
PLBY ACTIVE Playboy Inc.	E	25/100	—	71.0%	-4.1%	+5.09%	$141.4M	Benchmark Subject
FLWS 1-800-FLOWERS.COM Inc.	E	27/100	—	38.0%	-35.0%	-4.86%	$184.9M	/flws-vs-plby →
HTLM HomesToLife Ltd	C	65/100	8.1x	27.9%	85.0%	-3.39%	$105.8M	/htlm-vs-plby →
NEGG Newegg Commerce Inc.	E	13/100	—	48.7%	-14.3%	-1.32%	$206.4M	/negg-vs-plby →
RENT Rent the Runway Inc. (Class A)	D-	39/100	4.4x	—	-35.0%	-8.49%	$91.8M	/rent-vs-plby →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001803914 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Playboy Inc. (PLBY) reported GAAP revenue of $120.9M (+4.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $116.1M , and -15.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$12.7M, operating cash flow of $18.0K, and free cash flow of -$1.0M (+95.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, PLBY closed FY2025 with $292.4M in total assets against $172.6M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$120.9M	-$12.7M	$18.0K	-$1.0M	$292.4M	$172.6M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$116.1M	-$79.4M	-$19.1M	-$21.4M	$284.7M	$176.2M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$142.9M	-$180.4M	-$43.3M	-$43.3M	—	—

3. PLBY Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PLBY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does PLBY compare to FLWS and HTLM in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PLBY?

Where is PLBY trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PLBY last traded at $1.24 (+5.09% on volume of 1,584,308 shares), positioning the stock +12.73% above its 50-day simple moving average ($1.10) and -13.29% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.43). Across its 52-week range of $0.95 to $2.75, PLBY sits at the 16.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 65.0 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.9% ($1.12 to $1.36).

Direct Sub-Reports: PLBY RQD Cockpit PLBY 12M Forecast PLBY Earnings & Move PLBY Dividends & DRIP PLBY Insiders & 13F PLBY Whale Options PLBY Profit Sankey PLBY News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 25/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

PLBY — Playboy Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Playboy Inc. (PLBY) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 25/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $1.24 (+5.09% 1D, market capitalization $141.4M).

Fundamental Cash Engine (5/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -4.1%, gross margin of 71.0%, operating margin of -6.6%, and free cash flow yield of -0.72%.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (8/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (3/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (6/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.20, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 8.50x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Playboy Inc. (PLBY) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Other Specialty Stores industry. Per the market data, the company reports a gross margin of 71%, indicating a high gross margin profile.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Playboy Inc. (PLBY) reported $120.9M in annual revenue (up from $116.1M in FY2024, +4.1% YoY) and -$12.7M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($142.9M revenue, -$180.4M net income) through FY2025, PLBY scaled operating cash flow to $18.0K and free cash flow to -$1.0M, backed by $292.4M in total assets against $172.6M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 25/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -0.72% and institutional whale pillar of 8/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 5/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 8/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $0.95 – $2.75 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -6.6% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies are therefore — Sector classification is Consumer Discretionary and industry is Other Specialty Stores, but no sector correlation data is provided. Investors should watch whether the share allotment and repurchase activity referenced in the news feed alters the share count or cash position, since neither effect is quantified in the source data.

Key Question #1: Can PLBY sustain or expand its -6.6% operating margin and -4.1% ROIC against Other Specialty Stores peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $120.9M and free cash flow of -$1.0M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $172.6M in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is PLBY's equity valuation to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

PLBY Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Playboy Inc. (PLBY) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to PLBY Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Moomoo • 21h ago

Playboy Inc(PLBY) Stock Options Chain | Quotes & News

Moomoo report covering Playboy Inc. (PLBY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Titan • 1d ago

One buyer agrees to take Playboy (PLBY)'s third share allotment, with completion expected by Nov. 1.

Stock Titan report covering Playboy Inc. (PLBY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 1d ago

Playboy Assigns $5 Million Share Repurchase Tranche to The Million

TradingView report covering Playboy Inc. (PLBY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE https://www.siam.in/ • 1d ago

Playboy Inc. (PLBY) Closes Flat at $1.06, Trapped Between $1.01 Support and $1.11 Resistance - Initial Balance

https://www.siam.in/ report covering Playboy Inc. (PLBY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Titan • 1d ago

A 10.1% passive stake in Playboy (PLBY) is attributed to multiple related entities in an amendment.

Stock Titan report covering Playboy Inc. (PLBY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE https://www.dars.gov.et/ • 1d ago

PLBY Earnings Overview 2026-10-16 - Financial Summary

https://www.dars.gov.et/ report covering Playboy Inc. (PLBY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo • 5d ago

Brunswick (BC) Tops Q3 Earnings and Revenue Estimates

Brunswick (BC) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of +17.91% and +0.59%, respectively, for the quarter ended September 2026. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo • 12d ago

Pool Corp. (POOL) Surpasses Q3 Earnings and Revenue Estimates

Pool Corp. (POOL) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of +1.19% and +2.11%, respectively, for the quarter ended September 2026. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

PLBY Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.24?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON PLBY 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

MA MacroHawk_NYC RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cross-Asset Macro Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1.52 (+28.8%)

📌 Pinned Debate

Institutional accumulation and options positioning score highest among the RQD pillars at 8/20, and the stock trades 2.63% higher in th

The street is overcomplicating Playboy Inc. (PLBY). Institutional accumulation and options positioning score highest among the RQD pillars at 8/20, and the stock trades 2.63% higher in the latest session.. With an RQD score of 25/100 (E) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 6/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $1.27.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@RedlineAuditor Fair point on current EV/EBITDA multiples, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Other Specialty Stores. If gross margin (71.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

RE RedlineAuditor RQD DEBATE OPENER • Accounting Quality Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.00 (-15.3%)

Spot @ $1.18

Altman Z-Score of 0.2 and Debt/Equity of 8.5 sit alongside an RQD Strong Sell grade of E, with negative ROIC of -4.1% and FCF yield of

Altman Z-Score of 0.2 and Debt/Equity of 8.5 sit alongside an RQD Strong Sell grade of E, with negative ROIC of -4.1% and FCF yield of -0.72%.. Look at the math on PLBY: paying current EV/EBITDA multiples for -4.1% ROIC and -6.6% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Other Specialty Stores demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $1.04 before getting long.