Should I buy, hold, or sell OWL stock right now?

Blue Owl Capital Inc. (OWL) currently earns a Roarable Rating of C (Hold — HOLD) with 65/100 RQD Confidence. Solid steady margins (6% return on capital), mixed timing at 53x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

What is OWL's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

OWL's 12-month base price target is $10.95 (range $8.54 to $17.85), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Stock Ratings / Financials / OWL

BEN (65) TPG (60) CG (33) PS (54) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Blue Owl Capital Inc. (OWL) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$10.62 +2.81% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.65

Blue Owl Capital Inc. (OWL) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 65/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $16.11B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on OWL Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is OWL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Blue Owl Capital Inc. (NYSE: OWL) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $10.62 (+2.81% 1D, market cap $16.11B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 14/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, OWL ranks #229 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does OWL compare to BEN and TPG in the Financials sector?

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Within the Financials sector (Investment Managers), OWL carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 53.1x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 6.3%. By comparison, BEN (Franklin Templeton Inc.) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 31.3x, ROIC 3.0%, cap $16.08B) and TPG (TPG Inc.) posts a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 98.2x, ROIC 2.5%, cap $17.64B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CG leads on earnings multiple (17.9x) while OWL leads on capital efficiency (6.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OWL?

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Per OWL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001823945), Blue Owl Capital Inc. generated $2.87B in revenue (+25.0% YoY), $305.5M in net income, and $1.20B in free cash flow against $12.47B in total assets and $2.89B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.65 (+0.32%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 41.7% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 65/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.1% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for OWL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (65/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY OWL SCORES 65/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+14/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 41.7% FCF Margin ($1.20B FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (61.7) create a -10 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$8.79+4.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$9.17+5.5% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C+$9.67+9.8% Next Q

Current

Grade C$10.62+1.3% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (57) → C (65)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the OWL Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 65/100 (C) score, OWL faces multiple-compression risk if 53.1x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Priced at 53x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($10.00) or 200D SMA ($10.23) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($10.95) toward Bear Floor ($8.54).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $OWL• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “OWL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 65%NO 35%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM

61.730 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)

7 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE30% OF RANGE

L: $8$10.62H: $17

1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (steady margins), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: B-RQD 14 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: CRQD 26 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: CRQD 25 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish on OWL

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BULLISH (70)

6.3% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 7.38% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BULLISH (75)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

NEUTRAL (60)

26/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 10/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like OWL

✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
✓Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
!Priced at 53x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (OWL Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

OWL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +4.94%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-11-03O $10.41H $10.62L $10.33C $10.62VOL 29.27M

RES: $14.36SUP: $8.55SMA50: $10.00SMA200: $10.23

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

OWL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 OWL Butterfly Map → + Track OWL →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

38.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +25.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on OWL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for OWL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for OWL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (OWL)

Financials Rank #229 of 1097 ⚔️ BEN vs OWL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (OWL vs. BEN, TPG, CG, PS)

Industry: Investment Managers (79 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Blue Owl Capital Inc. (OWL) ranks #229 by composite RQD confidence (65/100, grade C) and #131 by equity capitalization ($16.11B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CG leads on earnings valuation at 17.9x trailing P/E, while OWL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 6.3% ROIC and — gross margin. OWL currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 65/100 (C).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
OWL ACTIVE Blue Owl Capital Inc.	C	65/100	53.1x	—	6.3%	+2.81%	$16.11B	Benchmark Subject
BEN Franklin Templeton Inc.	C	65/100	31.3x	—	3.0%	+1.04%	$16.08B	/ben-vs-owl →
TPG TPG Inc.	C-	60/100	98.2x	—	2.5%	+3.21%	$17.64B	/tpg-vs-owl →
CG The Carlyle Group Inc.	E	33/100	17.9x	—	5.4%	+2.19%	$14.32B	/cg-vs-owl →
PS Pershing Square Inc.	D+	54/100	—	—	—	+2.10%	$18.26B	/ps-vs-owl →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001823945 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Blue Owl Capital Inc. (OWL) reported GAAP revenue of $2.87B (+25.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.30B , and +65.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $305.5M, operating cash flow of $1.26B, and free cash flow of $1.20B (+28.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, OWL closed FY2025 with $12.47B in total assets against $2.89B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$2.87B	$305.5M	$1.26B	$1.20B	$12.47B	$2.89B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$2.30B	$420.4M	$999.6M	$935.4M	$10.99B	$2.33B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.73B	$220.8M	$949.1M	$871.2M	$8.93B	$2.09B

3. OWL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is OWL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does OWL compare to BEN and TPG in the Financials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OWL?

Where is OWL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

OWL last traded at $10.62 (+2.81% on volume of 24,798,710 shares), positioning the stock +6.20% above its 50-day simple moving average ($10.00) and +3.81% above its 200-day simple moving average ($10.23). Across its 52-week range of $7.95 to $17.00, OWL sits at the 29.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 61.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.5% ($9.61 to $11.63).

Direct Sub-Reports: OWL RQD Cockpit OWL 12M Forecast OWL Earnings & Move OWL Dividends & DRIP OWL Insiders & 13F OWL Whale Options OWL Profit Sankey OWL News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 65/100 (C) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

OWL — Blue Owl Capital Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Blue Owl Capital Inc. (OWL) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 65/100, corresponding to a C letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $10.62 (+2.81% 1D, market capitalization $16.11B).

Fundamental Cash Engine (14/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 6.3%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 13.0%, and free cash flow yield of 7.38%.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (12/20) + Insider Conviction (14/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (10/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (15/20): Incorporates a 1.14x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Blue Owl Capital Inc. Is a NYSE-listed issuer classified in the Financials sector and Investment Managers industry. — for detailed product lines, customer segments, or revenue mix. The profile identifies the market capitalization at $16.2B. — for the specific monetization model beyond the reported revenue and operating figures in the financials section.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Blue Owl Capital Inc. (OWL) reported $2.87B in annual revenue (up from $2.30B in FY2024, +25.0% YoY) and $305.5M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.73B revenue, $220.8M net income) through FY2025, OWL scaled operating cash flow to $1.26B and free cash flow to $1.20B, backed by $12.47B in total assets against $2.89B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (C • RQD 65/100): Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 14/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 12/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $7.95 – $17.00 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 53.1x trailing P/E and 44.4x EV/EBITDA against 13.0% operating margins and a 1.14x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies are therefore — Sector correlations beyond the Financials / Investment Managers classification are — Investors should watch the beta of 1.14 and the sensitivity noted in the macro regime pillar as the primary transmission channel for broader market or sector moves.

Key Question #1: Can OWL sustain or expand its 13.0% operating margin and 6.3% ROIC against Investment Managers peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $2.87B and free cash flow of $1.20B, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $2.89B in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is OWL's 44.6x forward P/E multiple to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.14x)?

OWL Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Blue Owl Capital Inc. (OWL) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to OWL Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 22h ago

Blue Owl Capital Stock And 2 Private Credit Plays Funding The AI Buildout

Yahoo Finance report covering Blue Owl Capital Inc. (OWL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Seeking Alpha • 1d ago

Blue Owl Capital: Speculative But At A Bargain Price (NYSE:OWL)

Seeking Alpha report covering Blue Owl Capital Inc. (OWL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Reuters • 1d ago

Blue Owl third-quarter profit beats estimates, AUM hits record $330 billion

Reuters report covering Blue Owl Capital Inc. (OWL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Financial Times • 1d ago

Blue Owl to launch ‘big push’ into insurance

Financial Times report covering Blue Owl Capital Inc. (OWL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Investing.com • 1d ago

Blue Owl Capital Corp stock hits 52-week low at 9.81 USD

Investing.com report covering Blue Owl Capital Inc. (OWL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

How Record Fundraising Will Impact Blue Owl Capital Stock (OWL) Investors

Yahoo Finance report covering Blue Owl Capital Inc. (OWL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Seeking Alpha • 1d ago

Blue Owl Capital stock up on Q3 earnings beat; AUM rises on capital raise, appreciation (OWL:NYSE)

Seeking Alpha report covering Blue Owl Capital Inc. (OWL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Blue Owl Capital (OWL), What Is Behind The Fresh Attention?

Yahoo Finance report covering Blue Owl Capital Inc. (OWL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

OWL Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $10.62?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON OWL 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

QU QuantViper RQD DEBATE OPENER • Systematic Momentum Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $12.81 (+24.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

Per the Roarable RQD rating, a 7.38% FCF yield and 7/9 Piotroski F-Score point to a cash-generating, financially sound business.

Here is why I am bullish on OWL here at $10.33: Per the Roarable RQD rating, a 7.38% FCF yield and 7/9 Piotroski F-Score point to a cash-generating, financially sound business.. Compare OWL's 13.0% operating margin and 6.3% ROIC against the rest of Investment Managers. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $9.81 are getting bought.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — OWL's 15/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

CR CreditSpread_Watch RQD DEBATE OPENER • Balance Sheet Analyst 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $8.37 (-19.0%)

Spot @ $10.33

Per the Roarable RQD rating, a beta of 1.14 and a trailing P/E of 53.1 leave the stock exposed to macro swings and rich valuation.

Careful chasing OWL at $10.33. Per the Roarable RQD rating, a beta of 1.14 and a trailing P/E of 53.1 leave the stock exposed to macro swings and rich valuation.. Gross margin is 0.0%, but operating margin is 13.0%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $8.37 on multiple compression.