Should I buy, hold, or sell OCSL stock right now?

Oaktree Specialty Lending Corporation (OCSL) currently earns a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold — HOLD) with 59/100 RQD Confidence. Solid steady margins (2% return on capital), mixed timing at 32x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

What is OCSL's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

OCSL's 12-month base price target is $12.47 (range $9.73 to $14.71), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Stock Ratings / Financials / OCSL

WD (36) RHLD (59) SECZ (43) PICS (43) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Oaktree Specialty Lending Corporation (OCSL) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$12.41 +2.22% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.44

Oaktree Specialty Lending Corporation (OCSL) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 59/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $1.07B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on OCSL Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is OCSL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Oaktree Specialty Lending Corporation (NASDAQ: OCSL) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $12.41 (+2.22% 1D, market cap $1.07B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, OCSL ranks #425 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does OCSL compare to WD and RHLD in the Financials sector?

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Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), OCSL carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 31.5x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 2.4%. By comparison, WD (Walker & Dunlop Inc) holds a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E 21.2x, ROIC 3.2%, cap $1.19B) and RHLD (Resolute Holdings Management) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 85.0%, cap $944.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, WD leads on earnings multiple (21.2x) while RHLD leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OCSL?

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Per OCSL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0001414932), Oaktree Specialty Lending Corporation generated $1.30B in revenue (+0.5% YoY), $33.9M in net income, and $228.4M in free cash flow against $3.10B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.44 (+0.21%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 17.6% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 59/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.5% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for OCSL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (59/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY OCSL SCORES 59/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (20% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 17.6% FCF Margin ($228.4M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-10 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$11.58-2.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$11.31+3.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$11.66+6.4% Next Q

Current

Grade C-$12.41+0.2% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (51) → C- (59)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the OCSL Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 59/100 (C-) score, OCSL faces multiple-compression risk if 31.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($12.19) or 200D SMA ($12.07) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($12.47) toward Bear Floor ($9.73).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $OCSL• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “OCSL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 59%NO 41%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM

58.730 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)

4 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE54% OF RANGE

L: $11$12.41H: $14

1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (steady margins), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 12 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 22 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: CRQD 25 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on OCSL

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

NEUTRAL (60)

2.4% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 21.37% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

NEUTRAL (65)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 4/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

NEUTRAL (57)

22/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 12/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like OCSL

✓Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (OCSL Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

OCSL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -3.80%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-11-03O $12.13H $12.41L $12.13C $12.41VOL 439.1K

RES: $14.26SUP: $11.13SMA50: $12.19SMA200: $12.07

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

OCSL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 OCSL Butterfly Map → + Track OCSL →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

24.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +0.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on OCSL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for OCSL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for OCSL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (OCSL)

Financials Rank #425 of 1097 ⚔️ WD vs OCSL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (OCSL vs. WD, RHLD, SECZ, PICS)

Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Oaktree Specialty Lending Corporation (OCSL) ranks #425 by composite RQD confidence (59/100, grade C-) and #533 by equity capitalization ($1.07B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, WD leads on earnings valuation at 21.2x trailing P/E, while RHLD leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and — gross margin. OCSL currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 59/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
OCSL ACTIVE Oaktree Specialty Lending Corporation	C-	59/100	31.5x	—	2.4%	+2.22%	$1.07B	Benchmark Subject
WD Walker & Dunlop Inc	D-	36/100	21.2x	—	3.2%	+2.79%	$1.19B	/wd-vs-ocsl →
RHLD Resolute Holdings Management	C-	59/100	—	—	85.0%	-1.50%	$944.3M	/rhld-vs-ocsl →
SECZ Securitize Corp.	D-	43/100	—	—	—	-4.23%	$1.23B	/secz-vs-ocsl →
PICS PicS N.V. (Class A)	D-	43/100	—	—	—	-4.37%	$920.1M	/pics-vs-ocsl →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0001414932 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), Oaktree Specialty Lending Corporation (OCSL) reported GAAP revenue of $1.30B (+0.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.30B , and +49.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $33.9M, operating cash flow of $228.4M, and free cash flow of $228.4M (+1097.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, OCSL closed FY2025 with $3.10B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-09-30	$1.30B	$33.9M	$228.4M	$228.4M	$3.10B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-09-30	$1.30B	$57.9M	$19.1M	$19.1M	$3.08B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-09-30	$869.3M	$117.3M	$228.8M	$228.8M	—	—

3. OCSL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is OCSL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does OCSL compare to WD and RHLD in the Financials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OCSL?

Where is OCSL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

OCSL last traded at $12.41 (+2.22% on volume of 531,674 shares), positioning the stock +1.80% above its 50-day simple moving average ($12.19) and +2.82% above its 200-day simple moving average ($12.07). Across its 52-week range of $10.63 to $13.94, OCSL sits at the 53.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 58.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.5% ($11.85 to $12.97).

Direct Sub-Reports: OCSL RQD Cockpit OCSL 12M Forecast OCSL Earnings & Move OCSL Dividends & DRIP OCSL Insiders & 13F OCSL Whale Options OCSL Profit Sankey OCSL News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 59/100 (C-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

OCSL — Oaktree Specialty Lending Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2025-09-30

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Oaktree Specialty Lending Corporation (OCSL) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 59/100, corresponding to a C- letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $12.41 (+2.22% 1D, market capitalization $1.07B).

Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 2.4%, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of 21.37%.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (10/20) + Insider Conviction (12/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (12/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Oaktree Specialty Lending Corporation is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified in the Financials sector and the Finance: Consumer Services industry,. — for detailed business description.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-09-30), Oaktree Specialty Lending Corporation (OCSL) reported $1.30B in annual revenue (up from $1.30B in FY2024, +0.5% YoY) and $33.9M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($869.3M revenue, $117.3M net income) through FY2025, OCSL scaled operating cash flow to $228.4M and free cash flow to $228.4M, backed by $3.10B in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (C- • RQD 59/100): Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 21.37% and institutional whale pillar of 10/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 10/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $10.63 – $13.94 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 31.5x trailing P/E against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Within the provided data, the only sector linkage is the classification of Financials and Finance: Consumer Services.

Key Question #1: Can OCSL sustain or expand its — operating margin and 2.4% ROIC against Finance: Consumer Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.30B and free cash flow of $228.4M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is OCSL's 29.3x forward P/E multiple to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

OCSL Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Oaktree Specialty Lending Corporation (OCSL) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to OCSL Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo! Finance Canada • 22h ago

Oaktree Specialty Lending Corporation (OCSL) Stock Price, News, Quote & History

Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Oaktree Specialty Lending Corporation (OCSL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Oaktree Specialty Lending Corporation Schedules Fourth Fiscal Quarter and Full Year 2026 Earnings Conference Call for November 17, 2026

Yahoo Finance report covering Oaktree Specialty Lending Corporation (OCSL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

Oaktree Specialty Lending Corp. (NASDAQ:OCSL) Stock Has Consensus Target Price of $11.83

MarketBeat report covering Oaktree Specialty Lending Corporation (OCSL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH Seeking Alpha • 1d ago

5 BDCs Priced For Loan Losses Worse Than 2008, Heading Into Q3 (NYSE:OTF)

Seeking Alpha report covering Oaktree Specialty Lending Corporation (OCSL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Traders Daily • 1d ago

Technical Reactions to OCSL Trends in Macro Strategies

Stock Traders Daily report covering Oaktree Specialty Lending Corporation (OCSL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE ad-hoc-news.de • 1d ago

Oaktree Specialty Lending schedules November 17 results for OCSL stock

ad-hoc-news.de report covering Oaktree Specialty Lending Corporation (OCSL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

Oaktree Specialty Lending (NASDAQ:OCSL) Stock Price Breaks Above 200 Day Moving Average - Here's Why

MarketBeat report covering Oaktree Specialty Lending Corporation (OCSL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

Oaktree Specialty Lending Corp. (NASDAQ:OCSL) Stock Now Rated "Reduce" by Wall Street Analysts

MarketBeat report covering Oaktree Specialty Lending Corporation (OCSL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

OCSL Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $12.41?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON OCSL 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

SI SiliconVal_Bull RQD DEBATE OPENER • Growth & Tech Investor 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $14.20 (+17.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

A 21.37% FCF yield and a 2.5 Altman Z-Score with 0.5 Debt/Equity point to a cash-generative, moderately leveraged balance sheet.

The street is overcomplicating Oaktree Specialty Lending Corporation (OCSL). A 21.37% FCF yield and a 2.5 Altman Z-Score with 0.5 Debt/Equity point to a cash-generative, moderately leveraged balance sheet.. With an RQD score of 59/100 (C-) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 13/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $13.11.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — OCSL's 13/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

CR CreditSpread_Watch RQD DEBATE OPENER • Balance Sheet Analyst 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $9.83 (-19.0%)

Spot @ $12.14

Net income fell from $117.3M to $33.9M over FY 2023 to FY 2025 while ROIC sits at 2.4% and the Whale 13F Flow pillar scores only 10/20.

I respect the product at Oaktree Specialty Lending Corporation, but the stock at $12.14 is a different story. Net income fell from $117.3M to $33.9M over FY 2023 to FY 2025 while ROIC sits at 2.4% and the Whale 13F Flow pillar scores only 10/20.. FCF yield is 21.37% and RQD sits at 59/100 (C-) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?