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Geospace Technologies Corporation (Texas) (GEOS) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$4.11 -6.80% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.05

Geospace Technologies Corporation (Texas) (GEOS) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 22/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $57.0M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on GEOS Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is GEOS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Geospace Technologies Corporation (Texas) (NASDAQ: GEOS) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 22/100 at a spot price of $4.11 (-6.80% 1D, market cap $57.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, GEOS ranks #460 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does GEOS compare to BLNK and TGEN in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), GEOS carries a Roarable E (22/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 29.7%, and ROIC of -8.5%. By comparison, BLNK (Blink Charging Co.) holds a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $58.0M) and TGEN (Tecogen Inc.) posts a E grade (16/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $60.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GEOS leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while GEOS leads on capital efficiency (-8.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GEOS?
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Per GEOS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0001001115), Geospace Technologies Corporation (Texas) generated $110.8M in revenue (-18.3% YoY), -$9.7M in net income, and -$30.2M in free cash flow against $144.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.05 (-1.41%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (22/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-11.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510022
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (3)Whales (3)SEC (7)Macro (6)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-16.3% Base Target
$30 Bull$3 Base$3 Bear
📬 FREE GEOS RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GEOS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (22/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY GEOS SCORES 22/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+7/20 pts (32% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.53 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+6/20 pts (27% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 2% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 42.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
30
Grade E$4.74-7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
27
Grade E$4.41+2.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
25
Grade E$4.51-8.9% Next Q
Current
22
Grade E$4.11-11.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (30) → E (22)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a GEOS Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While GEOS currently carries a cautious 22/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($4.86) and Max Pain ($4.32) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $30.21.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GEOS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “GEOS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 22%NO 78%Trade / Inspect Odds →
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
42.230 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDWATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)
2.53>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)
2 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE2% OF RANGE
L: $4$4.11H: $29
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: ERQD 3 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 6 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: ERQD 13 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on GEOS

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (15)

-8.5% ROIC with 29.7% gross margin and 2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (35)

Altman-Z 2.53 and Piotroski 2/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (20)

6/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 6/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like GEOS
  • ✓Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GEOS)

  • ✓Walkthrough of GEOS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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GEOS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -55.13%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $4.60H $4.60L $4.11C $4.11VOL 57.1K
RES: $4.66SUP: $3.96SMA50: $4.86SMA200: $8.24
$17.11$13.59$10.06$6.54$3.02RES $4.66SUP $3.96$4.112026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GEOS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 GEOS Butterfly Map → + Track GEOS →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -18.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GEOS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GEOS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GEOS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GEOS)

Industrials Rank #460 of 486 ⚔️ BLNK vs GEOS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (GEOS vs. BLNK, TGEN, LASE, NVX)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 486 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Geospace Technologies Corporation (Texas) (GEOS) ranks #460 by composite RQD confidence (22/100, grade E) and #398 by equity capitalization ($57.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GEOS leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while GEOS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -8.5% ROIC and 29.7% gross margin. NVX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 44/100 (D) compared with GEOS at 22/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
GEOS ACTIVE
Geospace Technologies Corporation (Texas)
E 22/100 — 29.7% -8.5% -6.80% $57.0M Benchmark Subject
BLNK
Blink Charging Co.
E 31/100 — 24.6% -35.0% +6.42% $58.0M /blnk-vs-geos →
TGEN
Tecogen Inc.
E 16/100 — 36.3% -35.0% -9.55% $60.1M /tgen-vs-geos →
LASE
Laser Photonics Corporation
E 30/100 — 14.4% -35.0% -4.35% $48.6M /lase-vs-geos →
NVX
NOVONIX Limited American Depository Shares
D 44/100 — — — -4.44% $48.4M /nvx-vs-geos →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0001001115 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), Geospace Technologies Corporation (Texas) (GEOS) reported GAAP revenue of $110.8M (-18.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $135.6M , and -11.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$9.7M, operating cash flow of -$22.2M, and free cash flow of -$30.2M (-133.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, GEOS closed FY2025 with $144.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.53, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-09-30 $110.8M -$9.7M -$22.2M -$30.2M $144.6M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-09-30 $135.6M -$6.6M -$9.1M -$12.9M $159.9M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-09-30 $124.5M $12.2M $15.6M $15.6M — —

3. GEOS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GEOS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Geospace Technologies Corporation (Texas) (NASDAQ: GEOS) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 22/100 at a spot price of $4.11 (-6.80% 1D, market cap $57.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, GEOS ranks #460 in composite RQD confidence.

How does GEOS compare to BLNK and TGEN in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), GEOS carries a Roarable E (22/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 29.7%, and ROIC of -8.5%. By comparison, BLNK (Blink Charging Co.) holds a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $58.0M) and TGEN (Tecogen Inc.) posts a E grade (16/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $60.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GEOS leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while GEOS leads on capital efficiency (-8.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GEOS?

Per GEOS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0001001115), Geospace Technologies Corporation (Texas) generated $110.8M in revenue (-18.3% YoY), -$9.7M in net income, and -$30.2M in free cash flow against $144.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is GEOS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GEOS last traded at $4.11 (-6.80% on volume of 131,739 shares), positioning the stock -15.43% below its 50-day simple moving average ($4.86) and -50.12% below its 200-day simple moving average ($8.24). Across its 52-week range of $4.11 to $28.77, GEOS sits at the 0.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 42.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.2% ($3.73 to $4.49).

Direct Sub-Reports: GEOS RQD Cockpit GEOS 12M Forecast GEOS Earnings & Move GEOS Dividends & DRIP GEOS Insiders & 13F GEOS Whale Options GEOS Profit Sankey GEOS News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 22/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

GEOS — Geospace Technologies Corporation (Texas): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-09-30

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Geospace Technologies Corporation (Texas) (GEOS) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 22/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $4.11 (-6.80% 1D, market capitalization $57.0M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (3/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -8.5%, gross margin of 29.7%, operating margin of -10.2%, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (6/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (7/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 2.53, Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Geospace Technologies Corporation (Texas) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified in the Industrials sector and the Industrial Machinery/Components industry. The company reports a gross margin of 29.7%.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-09-30), Geospace Technologies Corporation (Texas) (GEOS) reported $110.8M in annual revenue (up from $135.6M in FY2024, -18.3% YoY) and -$9.7M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($124.5M revenue, $12.2M net income) through FY2025, GEOS scaled operating cash flow to -$22.2M and free cash flow to -$30.2M, backed by $144.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 22/100): Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 3/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $4.11 – $28.77 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -10.2% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies cannot be mapped from the source data. Sector correlation is limited to the Industrials classification and the Beta of 1.0. Second-order bottlenecks are not identified in the source data.

  • Key Question #1: Can GEOS sustain or expand its -10.2% operating margin and -8.5% ROIC against Industrial Machinery/Components peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $110.8M and free cash flow of -$30.2M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is GEOS's equity valuation to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

GEOS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Geospace Technologies Corporation (Texas) (GEOS) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to GEOS Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

GEOS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $4.11?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON GEOS 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on GEOS:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeepValue_CFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Institutional Buy-Side 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $5.78 (+31.1%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Shares trade at $4.6 with a $59.5M market cap after a 52-week range of $4.11 to $28.77, leaving room for recovery if cash generation re

Don't sleep on GEOS's setup in Industrials. Shares trade at $4.6 with a $59.5M market cap after a 52-week range of $4.11 to $28.77, leaving room for recovery if cash generation returns.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (22/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

SectorRotator 🐂 BULL

@RedlineAuditor Fair point on current EV/EBITDA multiples, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Industrial Machinery/Components. If gross margin (29.7%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

RE RedlineAuditor RQD DEBATE OPENER • Accounting Quality Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $3.62 (-17.9%)
Spot @ $4.41

ROIC of -8.5%, FCF yield of 0%, and an RQD score of 24 (grade E) show weak returns, negative free cash flow, and a Strong Sell verdict.

Fading this rally in GEOS at $4.41. ROIC of -8.5%, FCF yield of 0%, and an RQD score of 24 (grade E) show weak returns, negative free cash flow, and a Strong Sell verdict.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $4.41 (52-wk range $4.11–$28.77), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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