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Six Flags Entertainment Corporation (FUN) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$7.73 +3.34% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.76

Six Flags Entertainment Corporation (FUN) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 33/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $765.3M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is FUN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Six Flags Entertainment Corporation (NYSE: FUN) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 33/100 at a spot price of $7.73 (+3.34% 1D, market cap $765.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, FUN ranks #825 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does FUN compare to FBYD and ACEL in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation), FUN carries a Roarable E (33/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 91.3%, and ROIC of -19.3%. By comparison, FBYD (Falcon's Beyond Global Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (26/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -22.8%, cap $837.9M) and ACEL (Accel Entertainment Inc.) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 17.8x, ROIC 15.7%, cap $922.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ACEL leads on earnings multiple (17.8x) while ACEL leads on capital efficiency (15.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FUN?
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Per FUN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001999001), Six Flags Entertainment Corporation generated $3.10B in revenue (+14.4% YoY), -$1.55B in net income, and $327.5M in free cash flow against $7.80B in total assets and $5.17B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.76 (+0.41%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 10.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (33/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510033
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk E
Cash (12)Whales (4)SEC (9)Macro (3)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-11.3% Base Target
$28 Bull$7 Base$5 Bear
📬 FREE FUN RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FUN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (33/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY FUN SCORES 33/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (36% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 10.6% FCF Margin ($327.5M FCF) & 91.3% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+9/20 pts (27% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (32.8) create a -16 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
41
Grade D$10.20-22.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
38
Grade E$7.86-1.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
36
Grade E$7.71+0.3% Next Q
Current
33
Grade E$7.73-8.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (41) → E (33)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a FUN Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While FUN currently carries a cautious 33/100 (E) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($11.47) and Max Pain ($8.12) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $27.59.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FUN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “FUN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
32.830 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)
5 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE6% OF RANGE
L: $7$7.73H: $26
1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (91.3% gross margin), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 12 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 9 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: ERQD 12 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on FUN

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
NEUTRAL (60)

-19.3% ROIC with 91.3% gross margin and 2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (45)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 5/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (20)

9/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 3/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like FUN
  • ✓Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring FUN)

  • ✓Walkthrough of FUN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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FUN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -56.23%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $7.68H $7.73L $7.48C $7.73VOL 4.16M
SUP: $5.70SMA50: $11.47SMA200: $16.85
$27.66$21.95$16.24$10.54$4.83SUP $5.70$7.732026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FUN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +14.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FUN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FUN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FUN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FUN)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #825 of 1009 ⚔️ FBYD vs FUN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (FUN vs. FBYD, ACEL, RSVR, LUCK)

Industry: Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation (51 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Six Flags Entertainment Corporation (FUN) ranks #825 by composite RQD confidence (33/100, grade E) and #539 by equity capitalization ($765.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ACEL leads on earnings valuation at 17.8x trailing P/E, while ACEL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.7% ROIC and — gross margin. ACEL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 58/100 (D+) compared with FUN at 33/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
FUN ACTIVE
Six Flags Entertainment Corporation
E 33/100 — 91.3% -19.3% +3.34% $765.3M Benchmark Subject
FBYD
Falcon's Beyond Global Inc. (Class A)
E 26/100 — — -22.8% 0.00% $837.9M /fbyd-vs-fun →
ACEL
Accel Entertainment Inc.
D+ 58/100 17.8x — 15.7% +4.84% $922.4M /acel-vs-fun →
RSVR
Reservoir Media Inc.
D 51/100 80.8x 64.7% 3.8% +1.68% $627.7M /rsvr-vs-fun →
LUCK
Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation (Class A)
E 21/100 — — 7.7% +1.98% $550.8M /luck-vs-fun →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001999001 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Six Flags Entertainment Corporation (FUN) reported GAAP revenue of $3.10B (+14.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.71B , and +72.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$1.55B, operating cash flow of $327.5M, and free cash flow of $327.5M (-12.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, FUN closed FY2025 with $7.80B in total assets against $5.17B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $3.10B -$1.55B $327.5M $327.5M $7.80B $5.17B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $2.71B -$206.7M $373.4M $373.4M $9.13B $4.72B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.80B $124.6M $325.7M $325.7M — —

3. FUN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FUN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Six Flags Entertainment Corporation (NYSE: FUN) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 33/100 at a spot price of $7.73 (+3.34% 1D, market cap $765.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, FUN ranks #825 in composite RQD confidence.

How does FUN compare to FBYD and ACEL in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation), FUN carries a Roarable E (33/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 91.3%, and ROIC of -19.3%. By comparison, FBYD (Falcon's Beyond Global Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (26/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -22.8%, cap $837.9M) and ACEL (Accel Entertainment Inc.) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 17.8x, ROIC 15.7%, cap $922.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ACEL leads on earnings multiple (17.8x) while ACEL leads on capital efficiency (15.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FUN?

Per FUN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001999001), Six Flags Entertainment Corporation generated $3.10B in revenue (+14.4% YoY), -$1.55B in net income, and $327.5M in free cash flow against $7.80B in total assets and $5.17B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is FUN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FUN last traded at $7.73 (+3.34% on volume of 4,449,750 shares), positioning the stock -32.61% below its 50-day simple moving average ($11.47) and -54.12% below its 200-day simple moving average ($16.85). Across its 52-week range of $6.60 to $26.28, FUN sits at the 5.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 32.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($6.76 to $8.70).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 33/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

FUN — Six Flags Entertainment Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Six Flags Entertainment Corporation (FUN) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 33/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $7.73 (+3.34% 1D, market capitalization $765.3M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -19.3%, gross margin of 91.3%, operating margin of -44.4%, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (4/20) + Insider Conviction (5/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (3/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (9/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of 8.50x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Six Flags Entertainment Corporation is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector, within the Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation industry..8B. — for details on specific products, customer segments, or revenue mechanics beyond the sector and industry classification.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Six Flags Entertainment Corporation (FUN) reported $3.10B in annual revenue (up from $2.71B in FY2024, +14.4% YoY) and -$1.55B in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.80B revenue, $124.6M net income) through FY2025, FUN scaled operating cash flow to $327.5M and free cash flow to $327.5M, backed by $7.80B in total assets against $5.17B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 33/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 4/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 4/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $6.60 – $26.28 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -44.4% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

A prospective investor should watch how the November 5 earnings release interacts with the fatal-incident and securities-investigation headlines already in the news wire, since those items are the only sourced second-order event risks.

  • Key Question #1: Can FUN sustain or expand its -44.4% operating margin and -19.3% ROIC against Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $3.10B and free cash flow of $327.5M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $5.17B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is FUN's equity valuation to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

FUN Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Six Flags Entertainment Corporation (FUN) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to FUN Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

FUN Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $7.73?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON FUN 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on FUN:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
QU QuantViper RQD DEBATE OPENER • Systematic Momentum Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $9.28 (+24.1%)
📌 Pinned Debate

The stock trades at $7.68 with a 52-week low of $6.6, leaving a 72% upside implied by the cited $20.79 target if that target is achieve

Here is why I am bullish on FUN here at $7.48: The stock trades at $7.68 with a 52-week low of $6.6, leaving a 72% upside implied by the cited $20.79 target if that target is achieved.. Compare FUN's -44.4% operating margin and -19.3% ROIC against the rest of Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $7.11 are getting bought.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — FUN's 9/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

FO ForensicBear RQD DEBATE OPENER • 10-K Footnote Auditor 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $6.36 (-15.0%)
Spot @ $7.48

Negative ROIC of -19.3%, a 0% FCF yield, and a Debt/Equity of 8.5 combine with a securities fraud investigation to weigh on the equity

Negative ROIC of -19.3%, a 0% FCF yield, and a Debt/Equity of 8.5 combine with a securities fraud investigation to weigh on the equity case.. Look at the math on FUN: paying current EV/EBITDA multiples for -19.3% ROIC and -44.4% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $6.58 before getting long.

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