ROARABLE
FREE $100K
Today Screener Big Ideas Track Record 💰 $100K Arena 🎲 Predictions 🏛️ Insiders 8 Analysts
Stock Ratings / Industrials / FIP
RAIL (37) GBX (58) TRN (60) RVSN (31) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

FTAI Infrastructure Inc. (FIP) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$2.84 -0.70% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.83

FTAI Infrastructure Inc. (FIP) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 33/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $338.0M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on FIP Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is FIP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, FTAI Infrastructure Inc. (NASDAQ: FIP) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 33/100 at a spot price of $2.84 (-0.70% 1D, market cap $338.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, FIP ranks #383 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does FIP compare to RAIL and GBX in the Industrials sector?
▼

Within the Industrials sector (Railroads), FIP carries a Roarable E (33/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, RAIL (FreightCar America Inc.) holds a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 27.5%, cap $136.7M) and GBX (Greenbrier Companies Inc.) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 5.9x, ROIC 24.1%, cap $1.21B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GBX leads on earnings multiple (5.9x) while TRN leads on capital efficiency (58.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FIP?
▼

Per FIP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001899883), FTAI Infrastructure Inc. generated $502.5M in revenue (+51.6% YoY), $0 in net income, and -$398.5M in free cash flow against $5.75B in total assets and $3.71B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.83 (-0.32%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (33/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510033
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk E
Cash (9)Whales (7)SEC (5)Macro (3)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-11.3% Base Target
$7 Bull$3 Base$2 Bear
📬 FREE FIP RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FIP)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (33/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY FIP SCORES 33/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+9/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+9/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 45% Net Buy • Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (55.2) create a -16 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
25
Grade E$2.44-5.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
28
Grade E$2.31+15.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
30
Grade E$2.67+6.4% Next Q
Current
33
Grade E$2.84-8.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (25) → E (33)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a FIP Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While FIP currently carries a cautious 33/100 (E) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.93) and Max Pain ($2.98) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $7.02.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FIP• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “FIP Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 33%NO 67%Trade / Inspect Odds →
RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM
55.230 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)
2 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE14% OF RANGE
L: $2$2.84H: $7
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: DRQD 9 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 16 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: ERQD 8 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on FIP

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (45)

14.0% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (25)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 2/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (32)

16/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 3/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like FIP
  • ✓Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring FIP)

  • ✓Walkthrough of FIP's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena
FIP // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -46.42%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-11-03O $2.87H $2.87L $2.84C $2.84VOL 1.58M
RES: $2.82SUP: $2.01SMA50: $2.93SMA200: $4.49
$6.02$4.99$3.96$2.94$1.91RES $2.82SUP $2.01$2.842026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FIP Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 FIP Butterfly Map → + Track FIP →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +51.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FIP today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FIP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FIP today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FIP)

Industrials Rank #383 of 486 ⚔️ RAIL vs FIP Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (FIP vs. RAIL, GBX, TRN, RVSN)

Industry: Railroads (11 Tracked Issuers)

Across 486 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, FTAI Infrastructure Inc. (FIP) ranks #383 by composite RQD confidence (33/100, grade E) and #319 by equity capitalization ($338.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GBX leads on earnings valuation at 5.9x trailing P/E, while TRN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 58.6% ROIC and — gross margin. TRN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 60/100 (C-) compared with FIP at 33/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
FIP ACTIVE
FTAI Infrastructure Inc.
E 33/100 — — — -0.70% $338.0M Benchmark Subject
RAIL
FreightCar America Inc.
D- 37/100 — 14.6% 27.5% -1.20% $136.7M /rail-vs-fip →
GBX
Greenbrier Companies Inc.
D+ 58/100 5.9x 18.7% 24.1% +8.23% $1.21B /gbx-vs-fip →
TRN
Trinity Industries Inc.
C- 60/100 8.1x — 58.6% +3.53% $2.30B /trn-vs-fip →
RVSN
Rail Vision Ltd. Ordinary Share
E 31/100 — 37.1% -35.0% -3.27% $6.0M /rvsn-vs-fip →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001899883 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), FTAI Infrastructure Inc. (FIP) reported GAAP revenue of $502.5M (+51.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $331.5M , and +56.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of -$118.0M, and free cash flow of -$398.5M (-320.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, FIP closed FY2025 with $5.75B in total assets against $3.71B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $502.5M $0 -$118.0M -$398.5M $5.75B $3.71B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $331.5M $0 -$15.3M -$94.8M $2.37B $1.54B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $320.5M $0 $5.5M $5.5M — —

3. FIP Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FIP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, FTAI Infrastructure Inc. (NASDAQ: FIP) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 33/100 at a spot price of $2.84 (-0.70% 1D, market cap $338.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, FIP ranks #383 in composite RQD confidence.

How does FIP compare to RAIL and GBX in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Railroads), FIP carries a Roarable E (33/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, RAIL (FreightCar America Inc.) holds a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 27.5%, cap $136.7M) and GBX (Greenbrier Companies Inc.) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 5.9x, ROIC 24.1%, cap $1.21B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GBX leads on earnings multiple (5.9x) while TRN leads on capital efficiency (58.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FIP?

Per FIP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001899883), FTAI Infrastructure Inc. generated $502.5M in revenue (+51.6% YoY), $0 in net income, and -$398.5M in free cash flow against $5.75B in total assets and $3.71B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is FIP trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FIP last traded at $2.84 (-0.70% on volume of 1,931,047 shares), positioning the stock -3.07% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.93) and -36.75% below its 200-day simple moving average ($4.49). Across its 52-week range of $2.23 to $6.69, FIP sits at the 13.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 55.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($2.49 to $3.19).

Direct Sub-Reports: FIP RQD Cockpit FIP 12M Forecast FIP Earnings & Move FIP Dividends & DRIP FIP Insiders & 13F FIP Whale Options FIP Profit Sankey FIP News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 33/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

FIP — FTAI Infrastructure Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

FTAI Infrastructure Inc. (FIP) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 33/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $2.84 (-0.70% 1D, market capitalization $338.0M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (9/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of —, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (7/20) + Insider Conviction (9/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (3/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (5/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, and Debt/Equity of 8.50x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

. Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Industrials sector and Railroads industry, with a market capitalization of $0.3B. Per the Financials section, FY 2025 revenue was $502.5M, indicating the company generates revenue from its operations.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), FTAI Infrastructure Inc. (FIP) reported $502.5M in annual revenue (up from $331.5M in FY2024, +51.6% YoY) and $0 in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($320.5M revenue, $0 net income) through FY2025, FIP scaled operating cash flow to -$118.0M and free cash flow to -$398.5M, backed by $5.75B in total assets against $3.71B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 33/100): Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 7/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 9/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 7/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $2.23 – $6.69 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Railroads (Industrials), FIP carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of —.

  • Key Question #1: Can FIP sustain or expand its — operating margin and — ROIC against Railroads peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $502.5M and free cash flow of -$398.5M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $3.71B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is FIP's equity valuation to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

FIP Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for FTAI Infrastructure Inc. (FIP) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to FIP Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

FIP Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $2.84?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON FIP 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on FIP:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
BR BreakoutHunter RQD DEBATE OPENER • Swing & Catalyst Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $3.43 (+19.9%)
📌 Pinned Debate

The stock trades at $2.87 with a 4.08% dividend yield and sits near the low end of its $2.23 - $6.69 52-week range.

Long FIP at $2.86 targeting $3.43. The stock trades at $2.87 with a 4.08% dividend yield and sits near the low end of its $2.23 - $6.69 52-week range.. Institutional whale score is 7/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $2.23 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

@RedlineAuditor Shorting a 7/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $2.86 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Industrials.

RE RedlineAuditor RQD DEBATE OPENER • Accounting Quality Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $2.26 (-21.0%)
Spot @ $2.86

Negative FY 2025 free cash flow of -$398.5M against $3.71B of debt, with ROIC at 0% and a Piotroski F-Score of 2 of 9.

Fading this rally in FIP at $2.86. Negative FY 2025 free cash flow of -$398.5M against $3.71B of debt, with ROIC at 0% and a Piotroski F-Score of 2 of 9.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $2.86 (52-wk range $2.23–$6.69), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

LIVE TAPE SPY $752.10 -1.80% QQQ $681.09 -3.60% DIA $519.34 -1.08% IWM $279.14 -1.68% NVDA $202.06 -1.26% AAPL $338.32 -1.83% MSFT $507.12 -2.83% TSLA $403.82 +1.00% PLTR $178.34 -3.13% SOFI $16.60 -0.95% IBIT $43.35 -5.42% GLD $361.65 -3.59%