What is ESCA's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

ESCA's 12-month base price target is $22.45 (range $17.17 to $26.49), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / ESCA

AOUT (55) BBW (68) FNKO (36) JAKK (40) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Escalade Incorporated (ESCA) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

Q: Should I buy, hold, or sell ESCA stock right now?

Escalade Incorporated (ESCA) currently earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy — BUY) with 74/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (26.9% gross margin, 8% return on capital) with steady institutional support.

$20.94 +6.29% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $21.23

Escalade Incorporated (ESCA) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 74/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (26.9% gross margin, 8% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $271.0M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on ESCA Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ESCA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Escalade Incorporated (NASDAQ: ESCA) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 74/100 at a spot price of $20.94 (+6.29% 1D, market cap $271.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 16/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ESCA ranks #84 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ESCA compare to AOUT and BBW in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Recreational Games/Products/Toys), ESCA carries a Roarable B (74/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 20.2x, gross margin of 26.9%, and ROIC of 8.0%. By comparison, AOUT (American Outdoor Brands Inc.) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -4.6%, cap $228.7M) and BBW (Build-A-Bear Workshop Inc.) posts a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 6.5x, ROIC 33.7%, cap $340.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BBW leads on earnings multiple (6.5x) while BBW leads on capital efficiency (33.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ESCA?

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Per ESCA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000033488), Escalade Incorporated generated $240.2M in revenue (-4.5% YoY), $13.7M in net income, and $28.5M in free cash flow against $222.1M in total assets and $11.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $21.23 (+1.37%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 11.9% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 74/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 12% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.4% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk A-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+7.2% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ESCA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (74/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY ESCA SCORES 74/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 6.38 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-8 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B-$18.23+3.4% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B-$18.85-2.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B$18.45+13.5% Next Q

Current

Grade B$20.94+7.3% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B- (66) → B (74)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ESCA Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 74/100 (B) score, ESCA faces multiple-compression risk if 20.2x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 24.4% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($19.35) or 200D SMA ($18.20) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($22.45) toward Bear Floor ($17.17).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ESCA• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “ESCA Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 74%NO 26%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM

56.330 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

6.38>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)

8 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE82% OF RANGE

L: $11$20.94H: $23

1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (26.9% gross margin), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: CRQD 13 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● BUYING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Hedge funds and options traders are leaning bullish, showing strong institutional appetite.

Factor Grade: B-RQD 28 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● ALL CLEAR

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

Clean SEC fine-print check with low hidden accounting risk and favorable interest-rate weather.

Factor Grade: A-RQD 33 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish on ESCA

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

NEUTRAL (65)

8.0% ROIC with 26.9% gross margin and 10.28% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BULLISH (90)

Altman-Z 6.38 and Piotroski 8/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BULLISH (72)

28/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 15/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like ESCA

✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
✓Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (ESCA Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

ESCA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +5.17%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-11-03O $20.14H $20.94L $19.70C $20.94VOL 34.5K

RES: $21.89SUP: $17.41SMA50: $19.35SMA200: $18.20

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ESCA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ESCA Butterfly Map → + Track ESCA →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

13.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -4.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ESCA today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ESCA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ESCA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ESCA)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #84 of 1009 ⚔️ AOUT vs ESCA Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (ESCA vs. AOUT, BBW, FNKO, JAKK)

Industry: Recreational Games/Products/Toys (20 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Escalade Incorporated (ESCA) ranks #84 by composite RQD confidence (74/100, grade B) and #655 by equity capitalization ($271.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BBW leads on earnings valuation at 6.5x trailing P/E, while BBW leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 33.7% ROIC and 55.8% gross margin. ESCA currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 74/100 (B).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
ESCA ACTIVE Escalade Incorporated	B	74/100	20.2x	26.9%	8.0%	+6.29%	$271.0M	Benchmark Subject
AOUT American Outdoor Brands Inc.	D+	55/100	—	44.7%	-4.6%	+1.77%	$228.7M	/aout-vs-esca →
BBW Build-A-Bear Workshop Inc.	C+	68/100	6.5x	55.8%	33.7%	+6.99%	$340.1M	/bbw-vs-esca →
FNKO Funko Inc. (Class A)	D-	36/100	—	—	-10.4%	+0.63%	$356.7M	/fnko-vs-esca →
JAKK JAKKS Pacific Inc.	D-	40/100	—	96.0%	5.7%	+0.67%	$361.6M	/jakk-vs-esca →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000033488 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Escalade Incorporated (ESCA) reported GAAP revenue of $240.2M (-4.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $251.5M , and -8.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $13.7M, operating cash flow of $31.0M, and free cash flow of $28.5M (-16.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, ESCA closed FY2025 with $222.1M in total assets against $11.3M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 6.38, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$240.2M	$13.7M	$31.0M	$28.5M	$222.1M	$11.3M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$251.5M	$13.0M	$36.0M	$34.0M	$226.3M	$18.5M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$263.6M	$9.8M	$48.3M	$48.3M	—	—

3. ESCA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ESCA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does ESCA compare to AOUT and BBW in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ESCA?

Where is ESCA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ESCA last traded at $20.94 (+6.29% on volume of 90,413 shares), positioning the stock +8.22% above its 50-day simple moving average ($19.35) and +15.05% above its 200-day simple moving average ($18.20). Across its 52-week range of $11.49 to $23.07, ESCA sits at the 81.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 56.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.0% ($19.47 to $22.41).

Direct Sub-Reports: ESCA RQD Cockpit ESCA 12M Forecast ESCA Earnings & Move ESCA Dividends & DRIP ESCA Insiders & 13F ESCA Whale Options ESCA Profit Sankey ESCA News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 74/100 (B) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

ESCA — Escalade Incorporated: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Escalade Incorporated (ESCA) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 74/100, corresponding to a B letter grade (Roarable Buy) at a spot price of $20.94 (+6.29% 1D, market capitalization $271.0M).

Fundamental Cash Engine (13/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 8.0%, gross margin of 26.9%, operating margin of 7.8%, and free cash flow yield of 10.28%.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (12/20) + Insider Conviction (16/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (15/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (18/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 6.38, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.07x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Escalade Incorporated (ESCA) is a NASDAQ-listed company classified in the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Recreational Games/Products/Toys industry. The profile describes it as a Consumer Discretionary issuer operating in that industry.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Escalade Incorporated (ESCA) reported $240.2M in annual revenue (up from $251.5M in FY2024, -4.5% YoY) and $13.7M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($263.6M revenue, $9.8M net income) through FY2025, ESCA scaled operating cash flow to $31.0M and free cash flow to $28.5M, backed by $222.1M in total assets against $11.3M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (B • RQD 74/100): Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 13/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 12/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $11.49 – $23.07 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 20.2x trailing P/E and 13.8x EV/EBITDA against 7.8% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Recreational Games/Products/Toys (Consumer Discretionary), ESCA carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of 26.9%.

Key Question #1: Can ESCA sustain or expand its 7.8% operating margin and 8.0% ROIC against Recreational Games/Products/Toys peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $240.2M and free cash flow of $28.5M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $11.3M in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is ESCA's 18.8x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

ESCA Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Escalade Incorporated (ESCA) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ESCA Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 23h ago

Escalade, Incorporated Q3 2026 Earnings Call Summary

Yahoo Finance report covering Escalade Incorporated (ESCA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 1d ago

Escalade, Incorporated Estimates – NASDAQ:ESCA

TradingView report covering Escalade Incorporated (ESCA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Seeking Alpha • 1d ago

Escalade: No Net Debt Now, Aiming For Next Acquisitions

Seeking Alpha report covering Escalade Incorporated (ESCA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE AlphaStreet • 1d ago

Escalade Q3 2026 EPS Tops Expectations by 33.3%, Revenue Down 3%

AlphaStreet report covering Escalade Incorporated (ESCA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

Escalade, Incorporated (NASDAQ:ESCA) Plans Quarterly Dividend of $0.15

MarketBeat report covering Escalade Incorporated (ESCA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Traders Daily • 1d ago

Liquidity Mapping Around (ESCA) Price Events

Stock Traders Daily report covering Escalade Incorporated (ESCA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE https://www.siam.in/ • 1d ago

Escalade Incorporated (ESCA) Slips to $18.49 as Shares Test Lower Support - Hot Stock Picks

https://www.siam.in/ report covering Escalade Incorporated (ESCA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

Escalade (NASDAQ:ESCA) Shares Break Below 200 Day Moving Average - Here's What Happened

MarketBeat report covering Escalade Incorporated (ESCA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

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🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ESCA Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $20.94?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ESCA 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

QU QuantViper RQD DEBATE OPENER • Systematic Momentum Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $25.22 (+28.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

Low leverage and strong forensic scores (Altman Z 6.38, Piotroski F 8/9, Debt/Equity 0.07) combined with a 10.28% FCF yield support the

Picked up a starter position in ESCA in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $19.70. Low leverage and strong forensic scores (Altman Z 6.38, Piotroski F 8/9, Debt/Equity 0.07) combined with a 10.28% FCF yield support the Roarable Buy rating.. Trading inside a $11.49–$23.07 52-week range with 10.28% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Recreational Games/Products/Toys multiples expand this quarter.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

@ForensicBear Shorting a 12/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $19.70 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Consumer Discretionary.

FO ForensicBear RQD DEBATE OPENER • 10-K Footnote Auditor 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $14.77 (-25.0%)

Spot @ $19.70

Revenue fell from $263.6M to $240.2M and FCF declined from $48.3M to $28.5M across the reported periods, with no analyst or holder data

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on ESCA: Revenue fell from $263.6M to $240.2M and FCF declined from $48.3M to $28.5M across the reported periods, with no analyst or holder data to corroborate the thesis.. At 20.2x trailing P/E, even a small guidance miss in Recreational Games/Products/Toys triggers a 12-15% air pocket.