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Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. (CD) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$5.77 -14.14% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.61

Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. (CD) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 38/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $739.2M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on CD Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: CD) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 38/100 at a spot price of $5.77 (-14.14% 1D, market cap $739.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, CD ranks #937 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CD compare to CGBD and BUR in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), CD carries a Roarable D- (38/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -7.2%. By comparison, CGBD (Carlyle Secured Lending Inc.) holds a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E 10.6x, ROIC 6.0%, cap $741.7M) and BUR (Burford Capital Limited) posts a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E 12.2x, ROIC 9.7%, cap $744.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CGBD leads on earnings multiple (10.6x) while WRLD leads on capital efficiency (9.8% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CD?
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Per CD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001527762), Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. generated $1.9M in revenue (+277.9% YoY), -$5.1M in net income, and -$2.4M in free cash flow against $46.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.61 (-2.74%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (38/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510038
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D-
Cash (7)Whales (11)SEC (8)Macro (9)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9% Base Target
$15 Bull$5 Base$4 Bear
📬 FREE CD RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CD)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (38/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CD SCORES 38/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+11/20 pts (29% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+9/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 31% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 46.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
46
Grade D$6.91+22.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
43
Grade D$8.47+19.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
41
Grade D$10.13-43% Next Q
Current
38
Grade D-$5.77-7.8% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (46) → D- (38)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CD Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While CD currently carries a cautious 38/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($5.82) and Max Pain ($6.06) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $14.80.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CD• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CD Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 38%NO 62%Trade / Inspect Odds →
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
46.930 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)
3 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE31% OF RANGE
L: $2$5.77H: $14
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 7 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 14 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 17 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on CD

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (35)

-7.2% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and -0.29% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (40)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 3/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (38)

14/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 9/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like CD
  • ✓Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CD)

  • ✓Walkthrough of CD's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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CD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +7.45%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $7.54H $7.54L $5.77C $5.77VOL 380.4K
RES: $12.81SUP: $3.69SMA50: $5.82SMA200: $5.19
$13.35$10.30$7.25$4.20$1.15RES $12.81SUP $3.69$5.772026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CD Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CD Butterfly Map → + Track CD →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +277.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CD today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CD. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CD today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CD)

Financials Rank #937 of 1097 ⚔️ CGBD vs CD Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (CD vs. CGBD, BUR, LU, WRLD)

Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. (CD) ranks #937 by composite RQD confidence (38/100, grade D-) and #611 by equity capitalization ($739.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CGBD leads on earnings valuation at 10.6x trailing P/E, while WRLD leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.8% ROIC and — gross margin. WRLD currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 55/100 (D+) compared with CD at 38/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CD ACTIVE
Chaince Digital Holdings Inc.
D- 38/100 — — -7.2% -14.14% $739.2M Benchmark Subject
CGBD
Carlyle Secured Lending Inc.
D- 38/100 10.6x — 6.0% +1.86% $741.7M /cgbd-vs-cd →
BUR
Burford Capital Limited
E 33/100 12.2x — 9.7% +10.29% $744.0M /bur-vs-cd →
LU
Lufax Holding Ltd (each representing twenty (20) )
D 44/100 — — — +0.97% $715.9M /lu-vs-cd →
WRLD
World Acceptance Corporation
D+ 55/100 23.7x — 9.8% +0.58% $767.0M /wrld-vs-cd →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001527762 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. (CD) reported GAAP revenue of $1.9M (+277.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $494.0K , and +318.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$5.1M, operating cash flow of -$2.4M, and free cash flow of -$2.4M (+32.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, CD closed FY2025 with $46.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.9M -$5.1M -$2.4M -$2.4M $46.6M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $494.0K -$4.5M -$3.6M -$3.6M $35.7M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $445.9K -$9.4M -$2.8M -$2.8M — —

3. CD Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: CD) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 38/100 at a spot price of $5.77 (-14.14% 1D, market cap $739.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, CD ranks #937 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CD compare to CGBD and BUR in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), CD carries a Roarable D- (38/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -7.2%. By comparison, CGBD (Carlyle Secured Lending Inc.) holds a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E 10.6x, ROIC 6.0%, cap $741.7M) and BUR (Burford Capital Limited) posts a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E 12.2x, ROIC 9.7%, cap $744.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CGBD leads on earnings multiple (10.6x) while WRLD leads on capital efficiency (9.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CD?

Per CD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001527762), Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. generated $1.9M in revenue (+277.9% YoY), -$5.1M in net income, and -$2.4M in free cash flow against $46.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CD last traded at $5.77 (-14.14% on volume of 437,937 shares), positioning the stock -0.86% below its 50-day simple moving average ($5.82) and +11.18% above its 200-day simple moving average ($5.19). Across its 52-week range of $2.10 to $14.10, CD sits at the 30.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($5.05 to $6.49).

Direct Sub-Reports: CD RQD Cockpit CD 12M Forecast CD Earnings & Move CD Dividends & DRIP CD Insiders & 13F CD Whale Options CD Profit Sankey CD News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 38/100 (D-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

CD — Chaince Digital Holdings Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. (CD) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 38/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $5.77 (-14.14% 1D, market capitalization $739.2M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (7/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -7.2%, gross margin of —, operating margin of -60.0%, and free cash flow yield of -0.29%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (11/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (9/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (8/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

. (CD) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Financials sector and the Finance: Consumer Services industry. The company reported revenue of $1.9M for FY 2025, up from $0.5M in FY 2024 and $0.4M in FY 2023.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. (CD) reported $1.9M in annual revenue (up from $494.0K in FY2024, +277.9% YoY) and -$5.1M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($445.9K revenue, -$9.4M net income) through FY2025, CD scaled operating cash flow to -$2.4M and free cash flow to -$2.4M, backed by $46.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D- • RQD 38/100): Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -0.29% and institutional whale pillar of 11/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 7/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 11/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $2.10 – $14.10 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -60.0% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations beyond the sector and industry labels, and second-order bottlenecks are therefore — The one available linkage is the sector classification (Financials / Finance: Consumer Services), which places the company within the consumer-services finance category but does not identify specific partners or dependencies.

  • Key Question #1: Can CD sustain or expand its -60.0% operating margin and -7.2% ROIC against Finance: Consumer Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.9M and free cash flow of -$2.4M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is CD's equity valuation to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

CD Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. (CD) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to CD Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CD Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $5.77?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CD 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CD:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeepValue_CFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Institutional Buy-Side 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $8.67 (+29.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Institutional flow scores 12 / 20 and cash rose from $23.9M to $33.8M between FY 2024 and FY 2025.

The street is overcomplicating Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. (CD). Institutional flow scores 12 / 20 and cash rose from $23.9M to $33.8M between FY 2024 and FY 2025.. With an RQD score of 38/100 (D-) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 8/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $7.26.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — CD's 8/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

SK SkepticalCFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Contrarian 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $5.44 (-19.0%)
Spot @ $6.72

ROIC of -7.2%, FCF yield of -0.29%, and insider conviction of 3 / 20 point to weak fundamentals and no insider support.

Careful chasing CD at $6.72. ROIC of -7.2%, FCF yield of -0.29%, and insider conviction of 3 / 20 point to weak fundamentals and no insider support.. Gross margin is 0.0%, but operating margin is -60.0%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $5.44 on multiple compression.

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