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Stock Ratings / Energy / BP
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BP p.l.c. (BP) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$47.88 -4.98% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $47.57

BP p.l.c. (BP) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 73/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 10% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $131.92B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on BP Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is BP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, BP p.l.c. (NYSE: BP) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 73/100 at a spot price of $47.88 (-4.98% 1D, market cap $131.92B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 19/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, BP ranks #16 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does BP compare to MPC and EQNR in the Energy sector?
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Within the Energy sector (Integrated oil Companies), BP carries a Roarable B (73/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, MPC (Marathon Petroleum Corporation) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 30.0x, ROIC 16.9%, cap $124.89B) and EQNR (Equinor ASA) posts a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $121.89B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PSX leads on earnings multiple (24.2x) while MPC leads on capital efficiency (16.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BP?
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For BP p.l.c. (BP), key quantitative strengths include Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side and Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs., while primary risk factors center on Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $47.56 (-0.66%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 15.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 73/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B
025507510073
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B- · Rk B+
Cash (11)Whales (19)SEC (16)Macro (15)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+6.7% Base Target
$60 Bull$51 Base$39 Bear
📬 FREE BP RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BP)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±3.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (73/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY BP SCORES 73/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+19/20 pts (26% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±3.9% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.74 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 13.9% operating margin leave 9 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
81
Grade A-$48.81+2.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
78
Grade A-$49.85-0.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
76
Grade B+$49.79-3.8% Next Q
Current
73
Grade B$47.88+7.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: A- (81) → B (73)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the BP Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 73/100 (B) score, BP faces multiple-compression risk if 32.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($46.36) or 200D SMA ($43.23) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($51.11) toward Bear Floor ($39.26).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BP• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “BP Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 73%NO 27%Trade / Inspect Odds →
RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM
63.130 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.74>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)
8 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE80% OF RANGE
L: $33$47.88H: $51
1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (steady margins), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 11 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● BUYING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Hedge funds and options traders are leaning bullish, showing strong institutional appetite.

Factor Grade: B+RQD 31 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● ALL CLEAR
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

Clean SEC fine-print check with low hidden accounting risk and favorable interest-rate weather.

Factor Grade: B+RQD 31 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish on BP

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
NEUTRAL (55)

9.9% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 2.21% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BULLISH (80)

Altman-Z 3.74 and Piotroski 8/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BULLISH (77)

31/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 15/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like BP
  • ✓Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.
  • ✓Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (BP Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
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BP // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +2.00%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $50.35H $50.39L $47.88C $47.88VOL 9.87M
RES: $52.57SUP: $43.70SMA50: $46.36SMA200: $43.23
$52.57$48.09$43.61$39.13$34.65RES $52.57SUP $43.70$47.882026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BP Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 BP Butterfly Map → + Track BP →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
25.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +9.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BP today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BP today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BP)

Energy Rank #16 of 211 ⚔️ MPC vs BP Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (BP vs. MPC, EQNR, VLO, PSX)

Industry: Integrated oil Companies (15 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, BP p.l.c. (BP) ranks #16 by composite RQD confidence (73/100, grade B) and #8 by equity capitalization ($131.92B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PSX leads on earnings valuation at 24.2x trailing P/E, while MPC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.9% ROIC and 10.0% gross margin. BP currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 73/100 (B).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
BP ACTIVE
BP p.l.c.
B 73/100 32.8x — 9.9% -4.98% $131.92B Benchmark Subject
MPC
Marathon Petroleum Corporation
B- 70/100 30.0x 10.0% 16.9% -3.22% $124.89B /mpc-vs-bp →
EQNR
Equinor ASA
B 73/100 32.8x — 9.9% -6.87% $121.89B /eqnr-vs-bp →
VLO
Valero Energy Corporation
B- 71/100 45.7x — 8.2% -4.55% $111.46B /vlo-vs-bp →
PSX
Phillips 66
C- 59/100 24.2x 12.3% 9.2% -2.75% $110.32B /psx-vs-bp →

2. BP Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

BP p.l.c. (BP) operates in Integrated oil Companies (Energy) with an equity capitalization of $131.92B, trailing P/E of 32.8x, forward P/E of 30.5x, and EV/EBITDA of 21.0x. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of 13.9%, net profit margin of 10.9%, ROIC of 9.9%, and free cash flow yield of 2.21%, alongside an Altman Z-Score of 3.74 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9.

3. BP Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, BP p.l.c. (NYSE: BP) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 73/100 at a spot price of $47.88 (-4.98% 1D, market cap $131.92B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 19/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, BP ranks #16 in composite RQD confidence.

How does BP compare to MPC and EQNR in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Integrated oil Companies), BP carries a Roarable B (73/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, MPC (Marathon Petroleum Corporation) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 30.0x, ROIC 16.9%, cap $124.89B) and EQNR (Equinor ASA) posts a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $121.89B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PSX leads on earnings multiple (24.2x) while MPC leads on capital efficiency (16.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BP?

For BP p.l.c. (BP), key quantitative strengths include Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side and Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs., while primary risk factors center on Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is BP trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BP last traded at $47.88 (-4.98% on volume of 8,721,996 shares), positioning the stock +3.28% above its 50-day simple moving average ($46.36) and +10.76% above its 200-day simple moving average ($43.23). Across its 52-week range of $33.22 to $51.49, BP sits at the 80.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 63.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±3.9% ($46.01 to $49.75).

Direct Sub-Reports: BP RQD Cockpit BP 12M Forecast BP Earnings & Move BP Dividends & DRIP BP Insiders & 13F BP Whale Options BP Profit Sankey BP News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 73/100 (B) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

BP — BP p.l.c.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-11-03

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

BP p.l.c. (BP) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 73/100, corresponding to a B letter grade (Roarable Buy) at a spot price of $47.88 (-4.98% 1D, market capitalization $131.92B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (11/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 9.9%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 13.9%, and free cash flow yield of 2.21%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (19/20) + Insider Conviction (12/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (15/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (16/20): Incorporates a 1.08x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 3.74, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.39x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Sector: Energy. Industry: Integrated oil Companies. Exchange: NYSE..l.c. Is a NYSE-listed Energy issuer operating in Integrated oil Companies with a market capitalization of $131.8B. —: the specific products sold, customer segments, and revenue model.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (B • RQD 73/100): Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 11/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 19/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $33.22 – $51.49 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 32.8x trailing P/E and 21.0x EV/EBITDA against 13.9% operating margins and a 1.08x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

— supply_chain is NONE, butterfly_links is empty, and proprietary_signals is empty, so no upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or second-order bottlenecks are recorded.

  • Key Question #1: Can BP sustain or expand its 13.9% operating margin and 9.9% ROIC against Integrated oil Companies peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Will free cash flow conversion (2.21% FCF yield) strengthen balance-sheet liquidity (Altman Z-Score 3.74) toward the $51.49 52-week high?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is BP's 30.5x forward P/E multiple to Energy capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.08x)?

BP Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for BP p.l.c. (BP) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to BP Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

BP Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $47.88?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON BP 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on BP:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
TA TapeReader_Pro RQD DEBATE OPENER • Price Action & Volume Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $62.48 (+24.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Institutional accumulation (18/20 whale 13F flow) and a strong forensic balance sheet (Piotroski F 8/9, Altman Z 3.74) underpin the 72

Here is why I am bullish on BP here at $50.39: Institutional accumulation (18/20 whale 13F flow) and a strong forensic balance sheet (Piotroski F 8/9, Altman Z 3.74) underpin the 72 RQD score.. Compare BP's 13.9% operating margin and 9.9% ROIC against the rest of Integrated oil Companies. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $47.87 are getting bought.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

@RiskArb_Desk Shorting a 19/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $50.39 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Energy.

RI RiskArb_Desk RQD DEBATE OPENER • Hedged Event Driven 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $41.82 (-17.0%)
Spot @ $50.39

A 32.8 trailing P/E against a 2.21% FCF yield and 1.08 beta leaves the valuation dependent on future earnings growth.

Careful chasing BP at $50.39. A 32.8 trailing P/E against a 2.21% FCF yield and 1.08 beta leaves the valuation dependent on future earnings growth.. Gross margin is 0.0%, but operating margin is 13.9%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $41.82 on multiple compression.

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