What is AOS's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

AOS's 12-month base price target is $71.01 (range $53.64 to $85.96), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / AOS

SN (79) WHR (39) PLBL (28) COOK (41) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

A.O. Smith Corporation (AOS) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

Q: Should I buy, hold, or sell AOS stock right now?

A.O. Smith Corporation (AOS) currently earns a Roarable Rating of B+ (Buy — BUY) with 77/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (38.8% gross margin, 32% return on capital) with steady institutional support.

$65.42 +3.73% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $66.02

A.O. Smith Corporation (AOS) earns a Roarable Rating of B+ (Buy) with 77/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (38.8% gross margin, 32% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B+ • BUY Cap $8.47B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on AOS Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is AOS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, A.O. Smith Corporation (NYSE: AOS) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 77/100 at a spot price of $65.42 (+3.73% 1D, market cap $8.47B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 19/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 18/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, AOS ranks #42 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does AOS compare to SN and WHR in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Consumer Electronics/Appliances), AOS carries a Roarable B+ (77/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 15.8x, gross margin of 38.8%, and ROIC of 32.0%. By comparison, SN (SharkNinja Inc.) holds a B+ grade (79/100 RQD, P/E 42.0x, ROIC 28.0%, cap $29.30B) and WHR (Whirlpool Corporation) posts a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E 6.1x, ROIC 8.7%, cap $1.97B). Among the 5-stock peer group, WHR leads on earnings multiple (6.1x) while AOS leads on capital efficiency (32.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AOS?

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Per AOS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000091142), A.O. Smith Corporation generated $3.83B in revenue (+0.3% YoY), $546.2M in net income, and $444.4M in free cash flow against $3.14B in total assets and $112.7M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (38.8% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $66.02 (+0.91%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 19/20 (A+) • 11.6% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 77/100 (B+) historically ranked in the Top 10% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 70.3% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B+

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw A- · Rk B-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+8.5% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AOS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.9%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (77/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY AOS SCORES 77/100 (B+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+19/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 11.6% FCF Margin ($444.4M FCF) & 38.8% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 7.94 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (63.4) create a -10 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B-$57.83+3.1% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B$59.65+2% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B+$60.86+7.5% Next Q

Current

Grade B+$65.42+7.8% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B- (69) → B+ (77)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the AOS Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 77/100 (B+) score, AOS faces multiple-compression risk if 15.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 36.3% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($59.02) or 200D SMA ($63.30) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($71.01) toward Bear Floor ($53.64).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AOS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “AOS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 77%NO 23%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM

63.430 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

7.94>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)

8 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE41% OF RANGE

L: $54$65.42H: $82

1. Money & Cash Health● HEALTHY

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Real cash coming in backs up reported profits (38.8% gross margin and healthy balance-sheet cushion).

Factor Grade: A+RQD 19 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● BUYING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Hedge funds and options traders are leaning bullish, showing strong institutional appetite.

Factor Grade: BRQD 30 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● ALL CLEAR

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

Clean SEC fine-print check with low hidden accounting risk and favorable interest-rate weather.

Factor Grade: B-RQD 28 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish on AOS

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BULLISH (95)

32.0% ROIC with 38.8% gross margin and 5.15% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BULLISH (90)

Altman-Z 7.94 and Piotroski 8/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BULLISH (67)

30/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 10/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like AOS

✓Strong cash generator (38.8% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.
✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
✓Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (AOS Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

AOS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +11.15%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-11-03O $63.49H $65.42L $63.07C $65.42VOL 2.50M

RES: $68.67SUP: $53.32SMA50: $59.02SMA200: $63.30

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AOS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 AOS Butterfly Map → + Track AOS →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

8.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +0.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AOS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AOS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AOS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AOS)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #42 of 1009 ⚔️ SN vs AOS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (AOS vs. SN, WHR, PLBL, COOK)

Industry: Consumer Electronics/Appliances (22 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, A.O. Smith Corporation (AOS) ranks #42 by composite RQD confidence (77/100, grade B+) and #186 by equity capitalization ($8.47B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, WHR leads on earnings valuation at 6.1x trailing P/E, while AOS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 32.0% ROIC and 38.8% gross margin. SN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 79/100 (B+) compared with AOS at 77/100 (B+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
AOS ACTIVE A.O. Smith Corporation	B+	77/100	15.8x	38.8%	32.0%	+3.73%	$8.47B	Benchmark Subject
SN SharkNinja Inc.	B+	79/100	42.0x	49.0%	28.0%	+2.51%	$29.30B	/sn-vs-aos →
WHR Whirlpool Corporation	D-	39/100	6.1x	15.4%	8.7%	+5.61%	$1.97B	/whr-vs-aos →
PLBL Polibeli Group Ltd (Class A)	E	28/100	—	8.0%	-6.1%	+2.79%	$1.97B	/plbl-vs-aos →
COOK Traeger Inc.	D-	41/100	—	39.2%	-14.0%	-1.21%	$148.1M	/cook-vs-aos →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000091142 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), A.O. Smith Corporation (AOS) reported GAAP revenue of $3.83B (+0.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.82B , and -0.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $546.2M, operating cash flow of $616.8M, and free cash flow of $444.4M (+8.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, AOS closed FY2025 with $3.14B in total assets against $112.7M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 7.94, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$3.83B	$546.2M	$616.8M	$444.4M	$3.14B	$112.7M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$3.82B	$533.6M	$581.8M	$410.0M	$3.24B	$183.2M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$3.85B	$556.6M	$670.3M	$496.9M	$4.75B	$1.11B

3. AOS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AOS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does AOS compare to SN and WHR in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AOS?

Where is AOS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AOS last traded at $65.42 (+3.73% on volume of 1,781,591 shares), positioning the stock +10.84% above its 50-day simple moving average ($59.02) and +3.35% above its 200-day simple moving average ($63.30). Across its 52-week range of $54.16 to $81.87, AOS sits at the 40.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 63.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.9% ($61.56 to $69.28).

Direct Sub-Reports: AOS RQD Cockpit AOS 12M Forecast AOS Earnings & Move AOS Dividends & DRIP AOS Insiders & 13F AOS Whale Options AOS Profit Sankey AOS News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 77/100 (B+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

AOS — A.O. Smith Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

A.O. Smith Corporation (AOS) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 77/100, corresponding to a B+ letter grade (Roarable Buy) at a spot price of $65.42 (+3.73% 1D, market capitalization $8.47B).

Fundamental Cash Engine (19/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 32.0%, gross margin of 38.8%, operating margin of 19.0%, and free cash flow yield of 5.15%.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (12/20) + Insider Conviction (18/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (10/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (18/20): Incorporates a 1.11x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 7.94, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.06x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

A.O. Smith Corporation (AOS) is a NYSE-listed company classified in the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Consumer Electronics/Appliances industry. The profile describes it as a Consumer Discretionary issuer with a market capitalization of $8.6B. Per the market data, the company reports gross margin of 38.8%, operating margin of 19%, and net margin of 14.3%. —: product line details, customer segments, and revenue mix by channel or geography.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), A.O. Smith Corporation (AOS) reported $3.83B in annual revenue (up from $3.82B in FY2024, +0.3% YoY) and $546.2M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($3.85B revenue, $556.6M net income) through FY2025, AOS scaled operating cash flow to $616.8M and free cash flow to $444.4M, backed by $3.14B in total assets against $112.7M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (B+ • RQD 77/100): Strong cash generator (38.8% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 19/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 12/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $54.16 – $81.87 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 15.8x trailing P/E and 9.8x EV/EBITDA against 19.0% operating margins and a 1.11x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Accordingly, upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks cannot be mapped from the source data. The only sector context available is the classification of Consumer Discretionary / Consumer Electronics/Appliances.

Key Question #1: Can AOS sustain or expand its 19.0% operating margin and 32.0% ROIC against Consumer Electronics/Appliances peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $3.83B and free cash flow of $444.4M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $112.7M in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is AOS's 14.7x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.11x)?

AOS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for A.O. Smith Corporation (AOS) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to AOS Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 23h ago

A. O. Smith (AOS) is Restructuring Water Treatment. Can It Earn Better Returns Beyond Water Heaters?

Yahoo Finance report covering A.O. Smith Corporation (AOS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance Australia • 1d ago

A. O. Smith Corporation (AOS) stock price, news, quote and history

Yahoo Finance Australia report covering A.O. Smith Corporation (AOS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Here's Why Investors Should Consider Retaining A. O. Smith Stock Now

Yahoo Finance report covering A.O. Smith Corporation (AOS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

What to Expect From A. O. Smith's Q3 2026 Earnings Report

Yahoo Finance report covering A.O. Smith Corporation (AOS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

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🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

A. O. Smith (AOS) Agrees To Transfer Majority Stake In China Business

Yahoo Finance report covering A.O. Smith Corporation (AOS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

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🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

A.O. Smith Corporation (AOS) Stock Forecasts

Yahoo Finance report covering A.O. Smith Corporation (AOS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

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🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

A. O. Smith Corporation Q3 2026 Earnings Call Summary

Yahoo Finance report covering A.O. Smith Corporation (AOS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

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🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

A.O. Smith (AOS) Q3 Earnings: Taking a Look at Key Metrics Versus Estimates

Yahoo Finance report covering A.O. Smith Corporation (AOS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

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🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

AOS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $65.42?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON AOS 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

SI SiliconVal_Bull RQD DEBATE OPENER • Growth & Tech Investor 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $72.53 (+15.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

Per the RQD rating, 32% ROIC and a 5.15% FCF yield, paired with an Altman Z of 7.94 and Debt/Equity of 0.06, indicate a highly profitab

Per the RQD rating, 32% ROIC and a 5.15% FCF yield, paired with an Altman Z of 7.94 and Debt/Equity of 0.06, indicate a highly profitable, low-leverage business.. When you look under the hood at AOS, Fundamental Cash Engine is 19/20 with 38.8% gross margins and 32.0% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (12/20) has been quietly accumulating below $81.87. My 12M target is $72.53.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — AOS's 18/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

RI RiskArb_Desk RQD DEBATE OPENER • Hedged Event Driven 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $54.24 (-14.0%)

Spot @ $63.07

Per the RQD rating, a Beta of 1.11 and a moderate 13/20 macro-fit score mean the stock may fall harder than the market in a risk-off pe

Careful chasing AOS at $63.07. Per the RQD rating, a Beta of 1.11 and a moderate 13/20 macro-fit score mean the stock may fall harder than the market in a risk-off period.. Gross margin is 38.8%, but operating margin is 19.0%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $54.24 on multiple compression.