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Stock Ratings / Materials / ALM
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Almonty Industries Inc. (ALM) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$8.71 +0.12% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $8.70

Almonty Industries Inc. (ALM) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 46/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $2.51B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on ALM Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ALM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Almonty Industries Inc. (NASDAQ: ALM) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $8.71 (+0.12% 1D, market cap $2.51B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, ALM ranks #120 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ALM compare to DNN and UEC in the Materials sector?
▼

Within the Materials sector (Other Metals and Minerals), ALM carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, DNN (Denison Mines Corp (Canada)) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.00B) and UEC (Uranium Energy Corp.) posts a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -5.9%, cap $3.82B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NXE leads on earnings multiple (32.8x) while NXE leads on capital efficiency (9.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ALM?
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For Almonty Industries Inc. (ALM), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity and sector rank #120 in Materials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $8.70 (-0.17%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 1.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510046
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+
Cash (12)Whales (4)SEC (13)Macro (8)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.4% Base Target
$26 Bull$8 Base$6 Bear
📬 FREE ALM RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ALM)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (46/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ALM SCORES 46/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (28% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 1.8% FCF Margin ($70.3M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
54
Grade C-$10.98-18.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
51
Grade C-$8.90+7.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
49
Grade D$9.56-8.9% Next Q
Current
46
Grade D$8.71-6.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (54) → D (46)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ALM Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ALM currently carries a cautious 46/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($13.21) and Max Pain ($9.15) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $25.63.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ALM• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ALM Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 46%NO 54%Trade / Inspect Odds →
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
33.730 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)
7 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE17% OF RANGE
L: $5$8.71H: $24
1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (steady margins), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 12 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 13 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 21 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on ALM

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
NEUTRAL (60)

14.0% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
NEUTRAL (65)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (35)

13/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 8/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like ALM
  • ✓Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ALM)

  • ✓Walkthrough of ALM's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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ALM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -55.42%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $9.30H $9.30L $8.70C $8.71VOL 5.57M
RES: $18.03SUP: $8.12SMA50: $13.21SMA200: $15.83
$23.27$19.24$15.21$11.17$7.14RES $18.03SUP $8.12$8.712026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ALM Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ALM Butterfly Map → + Track ALM →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ALM today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ALM. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ALM today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ALM)

Materials Rank #120 of 270 ⚔️ DNN vs ALM Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (ALM vs. DNN, UEC, NXE, IPX)

Industry: Other Metals and Minerals (11 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Almonty Industries Inc. (ALM) ranks #120 by composite RQD confidence (46/100, grade D) and #102 by equity capitalization ($2.51B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NXE leads on earnings valuation at 32.8x trailing P/E, while NXE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.9% ROIC and — gross margin. NXE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 50/100 (D) compared with ALM at 46/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ALM ACTIVE
Almonty Industries Inc.
D 46/100 — — — +0.12% $2.51B Benchmark Subject
DNN
Denison Mines Corp (Canada)
D 45/100 — — — -3.62% $2.00B /dnn-vs-alm →
UEC
Uranium Energy Corp.
D- 40/100 — 36.6% -5.9% -2.59% $3.82B /uec-vs-alm →
NXE
Nexgen Energy Ltd.
D 50/100 32.8x — 9.9% -4.59% $5.55B /nxe-vs-alm →
IPX
IperionX Limited
D 46/100 — — — -0.07% $509.4M /ipx-vs-alm →

2. ALM Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Almonty Industries Inc. (ALM) operates in Other Metals and Minerals (Materials) with an equity capitalization of $2.51B, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. ALM Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ALM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Almonty Industries Inc. (NASDAQ: ALM) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $8.71 (+0.12% 1D, market cap $2.51B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, ALM ranks #120 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ALM compare to DNN and UEC in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Other Metals and Minerals), ALM carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, DNN (Denison Mines Corp (Canada)) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.00B) and UEC (Uranium Energy Corp.) posts a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -5.9%, cap $3.82B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NXE leads on earnings multiple (32.8x) while NXE leads on capital efficiency (9.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ALM?

For Almonty Industries Inc. (ALM), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity and sector rank #120 in Materials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ALM trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ALM last traded at $8.71 (+0.12% on volume of 6,007,610 shares), positioning the stock -34.07% below its 50-day simple moving average ($13.21) and -44.98% below its 200-day simple moving average ($15.83). Across its 52-week range of $5.43 to $24.41, ALM sits at the 17.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 33.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($7.62 to $9.80).

Direct Sub-Reports: ALM RQD Cockpit ALM 12M Forecast ALM Earnings & Move ALM Dividends & DRIP ALM Insiders & 13F ALM Whale Options ALM Profit Sankey ALM News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 46/100 (D) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

ALM — Almonty Industries Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-11-03

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Almonty Industries Inc. (ALM) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 46/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $8.71 (+0.12% 1D, market capitalization $2.51B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of —, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (4/20) + Insider Conviction (9/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (8/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of N/A, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Almonty Industries Inc. (ALM) is a NASDAQ-listed operating company in the Other Metals and Minerals industry (Materials sector) with an equity market capitalization of $2.51B. The business operates with a gross margin of 0%, an operating margin of 0%, and a return on invested capital (ROIC) of 0% (free cash flow yield of 0%). Within the Other Metals and Minerals peer group, investor evaluation centers on operating leverage, unit margin durability, and capital allocation efficiency across market cycles.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 46/100): Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 4/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 4/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $5.43 – $24.41 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

No upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or proprietary signal links are recorded. — for upstream or downstream ripples. The headlines reference tungsten pricing, which is the only commodity-linked theme in the source data, so price sensitivity to that theme is a 2nd-order risk to monitor, but the graph itself does not map it.

  • Key Question #1: Can ALM sustain or expand its — operating margin and — ROIC against Other Metals and Minerals peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Will free cash flow conversion (— FCF yield) strengthen balance-sheet liquidity (Altman Z-Score N/A) toward the $24.41 52-week high?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is ALM's equity valuation to Materials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

ALM Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Almonty Industries Inc. (ALM) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ALM Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ALM Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $8.71?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ALM 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ALM:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
AL AlphaFlow_Cap RQD DEBATE OPENER • Verified $100K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $10.35 (+19.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Forensic balance sheet metrics (Altman Z 2.5, Piotroski F 6/9, Debt/Equity 0.5) are not flagged as distressed, and an Oppenheimer Outpe

Don't sleep on ALM's setup in Materials. Forensic balance sheet metrics (Altman Z 2.5, Piotroski F 6/9, Debt/Equity 0.5) are not flagged as distressed, and an Oppenheimer Outperform reiteration is reported.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (46/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@AlphaFlow_Cap Agree on the RQD 46/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $8.70 and keeping dry powder in case we test $8.09.

RI RiskArb_Desk RQD DEBATE OPENER • Hedged Event Driven 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $6.52 (-25.1%)
Spot @ $8.70

ROIC and FCF yield are both 0% with institutional flow scored 4/20 and insider conviction 9/20, while shares are down 24.4% over four w

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on ALM: ROIC and FCF yield are both 0% with institutional flow scored 4/20 and insider conviction 9/20, while shares are down 24.4% over four weeks.. At current EV/EBITDA multiples, even a small guidance miss in Other Metals and Minerals triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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