ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

TXT // Textron Inc.

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0000217346 ↗
Industrials • Aerospace
$85.70 ▼ -1.76 (-2.01%)
MKT CAP: $15.04B • VOL: 2.71M
TXT // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 64/100 [C] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE C
RQD CONFIDENCE
64 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
14 / 20
SOLID
FCF +62.6% vs NI +11.8% • ROIC-WACC +0.7% • Z 2.58
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
13 / 20
SOLID
52W RANGE 52% • VS 200D -0.9% • RSI 72.1
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
16 / 20
STRONG
FCF YIELD +4.3% • P/E 15.2x • F-SCORE 9/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

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TXT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -5.76%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-02O $78.32H $87.46L $78.32C $85.70VOL 4.29M
RES: $89.88SUP: $68.54SMA50: $78.76SMA200: $88.25
$99.10$91.72$84.34$76.96$69.58RES $89.88SUP $68.54$85.702026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
TXT // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 49/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Textron Inc. (TXT) exhibits 45.0% gross margins and 8.9% return on invested capital within Industrials (Aerospace), balanced against a 10.2x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.0% gross profitability converts into 7.6% operating margin and 8.9% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 8.9% // GM: 45.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +8.0% paired with 4.29% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +8.0% // FCF YLD: 4.29%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 2.58 and Piotroski F-Score of 9/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 2.58 // F-SCORE: 9/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 16.3x trailing P/E (15.2x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 16.3x // EV/EBITDA: 10.2x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $85.70 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Aerospace require continuous execution to defend 6.2% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 6.2% // D/E: 0.55x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 15.2x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.00).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 16.3x
FORWARD P/E 15.2x
EV / EBITDA 10.2x
FCF YIELD 4.29%
GROSS MARGIN —
OPERATING MARGIN 7.6%
NET MARGIN 6.2%
ROIC % 8.9%
REV GROWTH YOY +8.0%
DILUTED EPS TTM $5.36
DEBT / EQUITY 0.55x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.12%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 72.1
5Y EQUITY BETA 1.00
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // TXTPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $78.42
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>