ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

IONQ // IonQ Inc.

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001824920 ↗
Technology • EDP Services
$30.04 ▼ -1.68 (-5.30%)
MKT CAP: $12.97B • VOL: 23.46M
IONQ // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 28/100 [E] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE E
RQD CONFIDENCE
28 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
5 / 20
CRITICAL
FCF -120% vs NI -53.6% • ROIC-WACC -22.9% • Z 2.71
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
6 / 20
CRITICAL
52W RANGE 12% • VS 200D -24.2% • RSI 40.8
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
5 / 20
CRITICAL
HEADWIND • r(10Y)=-0.04 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=-0.29
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

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IONQ // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -34.34%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $32.43H $32.43L $30.04C $30.04VOL 13.36M
RES: $47.88SUP: $28.45SMA50: $37.75SMA200: $41.86
$76.81$63.73$50.65$37.57$24.49RES $47.88SUP $28.45$30.042026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
IONQ // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
HIGH-CONVICTION LONG CONVICTION: 88/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

IonQ Inc. (IONQ) exhibits 45.0% gross margins and -12.8% return on invested capital within Technology (EDP Services), balanced against a 24.0x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.0% gross profitability converts into -60.0% operating margin and -12.8% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: -12.8% // GM: 45.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +180.0% paired with -2.31% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +180.0% // FCF YLD: -2.31%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 2.71 and Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 2.71 // F-SCORE: 5/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 24.0x trailing P/E (25.0x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 24.0x // EV/EBITDA: —
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $30.04 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in EDP Services require continuous execution to defend -60.0% net margins.

NET MARGIN: -60.0% // D/E: 0.30x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 25.0x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.33).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E —
FORWARD P/E 25.0x
EV / EBITDA —
FCF YIELD -2.31%
GROSS MARGIN —
OPERATING MARGIN -60.0%
NET MARGIN -60.0%
ROIC % -12.8%
REV GROWTH YOY +180.0%
DILUTED EPS TTM $-1.25
DEBT / EQUITY 0.30x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 40.8
5Y EQUITY BETA 1.33
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // IONQPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $27.49
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>